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Newcastle vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Arsenal Premier League game on May 2, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
2
0
May 2, 1PM St James' Park
Newcastle
May 2, 1PM St James' Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
Schar (90')
Elneny (6')
Aubameyang (66')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ARS
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Gabriel Martinelli is back on his feet again.
90'
Mike Dean waits before resuming play because Gabriel Martinelli for Arsenal FC is still down.
90'
Red Card
Fabian Schar (Newcastle United FC) has been shown a straight red card by referee Mike Dean.
90'
Mike Dean signals a free kick to Arsenal FC.
88'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
87'
Mike Dean awards the home team a throw-in.
86'
Mike Dean awards the home team a throw-in.
85'
Substitution
Arsenal FC make their third substitution with Thomas Partey replacing Martin Odegaard.
84'
Substitution
Dwight Gayle is on a sub for Ciaran Clark for Newcastle United FC.
84'
Allan Saint-Maximin of Newcastle United FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
84'
Ball goes out of play for a Arsenal FC goal kick.
82'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC in their own half.
80'
Callum Wilson for the home team is judged to be offside.
78'
Substitution
Nicolas Pepe is replacing Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang for the away team.
77'
Mike Dean awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
73'
Substitution
The home team have replaced Miguel Almiron with Joelinton. This is the second substitution made today by Steve Bruce.
72'
Substitution
The home team replace Federico Fernandez with Fabian Schar.
72'
Arsenal FC's Granit Xhaka breaks free at St James' Park. But the strike goes wide of the post.
72'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Newcastle upon Tyne.
71'
Corner awarded to Arsenal FC.
70'
In Newcastle upon Tyne a free kick has been awarded the home team.
69'
Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
68'
Calum Chambers (Arsenal FC) gets up for a header but cannot keep the ball on target.
68'
Mike Dean awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
68'
Arsenal FC have been awarded a corner by Mike Dean.
66'
Great finish from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to give Arsenal FC a 0-2 lead.
2-0
65'
In Newcastle upon Tyne Arsenal FC's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is caught offside.
63'
Arsenal FC's Gabriel Magalhaes attacks the ball with his head but his effort fails to hit the target.
63'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Newcastle upon Tyne.
62'
Yellow Card
Federico Fernandez (Newcastle United FC) has received a yellow card from Mike Dean.
62'
Arsenal FC are in shooting range from this free kick.
62'
Arsenal FC have a dangerous throw-in.
61'
Arsenal FC to take a throw-in in Newcastle United FC territory.
60'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in their own half.
60'
Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
59'
Mike Dean signals a Arsenal FC throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half.
58'
Throw-in Newcastle United FC.
58'
Arsenal FC have been awarded a corner by Mike Dean.
55'
Mike Dean signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
55'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.
54'
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
53'
Substitution
Calum Chambers (Arsenal FC) has replaced the possibly injured David Luiz at St James' Park.
51'
Play has been interrupted briefly in Newcastle upon Tyne to check on David Luiz, who is grimacing with pain.
50'
Arsenal FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
49'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
49'
Arsenal FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
48'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
47'
Arsenal FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
46'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.
45'
The first half has been concluded at St James' Park.
45'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
45'
Free kick Arsenal FC.
45'
David Luiz's header is off-target for Newcastle United FC.
45'
Goal kick for Arsenal FC at St James' Park.
45'
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
42'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
38'
Mike Dean signals a throw-in for Arsenal FC, close to Newcastle United FC's area.
37'
David Luiz (Arsenal FC) gets in a powerful header but the ball is cleared away.
36'
Arsenal FC have been awarded a corner by Mike Dean.
36'
David Luiz (Arsenal FC) gets in a header on goal but the attempt is cleared.
36'
Corner awarded to Arsenal FC.
33'
Mike Dean signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
31'
Yellow Card
At St James' Park, Miguel Almiron has been yellow-carded for the home team.
31'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC close to the penalty box.
30'
Ball goes out of play for a Newcastle United FC goal kick.
30'
Arsenal FC's Gabriel Martinelli misses with an attempt on goal.
30'
Arsenal FC have been awarded a corner by Mike Dean.
29'
Corner awarded to Arsenal FC.
29'
Arsenal FC drives forward and Granit Xhaka gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
27'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
26'
Mike Dean signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
25'
Can Arsenal FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?
24'
Arsenal FC are coming forward and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
24'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
23'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
21'
Arsenal FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
21'
Yellow Card
Granit Xhaka (Arsenal FC) gets a yellow card.
20'
Free kick Newcastle United FC.
19'
Newcastle United FC have been awarded a corner by Mike Dean.
19'
Newcastle United FC's Allan Saint-Maximin is on target but unsuccessful.
15'
Mike Dean awards Arsenal FC a goal kick.
14'
Mike Dean signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC.
14'
Arsenal FC are pushing forward but Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang's finish is wide of the goal.
14'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Newcastle upon Tyne.
12'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in the half of Arsenal FC.
12'
Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
11'
Arsenal FC's Hector Bellerin gets his shot away but it misses the target.
11'
Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.
10'
Newcastle United FC needs to be cautious. Arsenal FC have an attacking throw-in.
9'
Arsenal FC to take a throw-in in Newcastle United FC territory.
7'
In Newcastle upon Tyne a free kick has been awarded the away team.
6'
Mohamed Elneny is on target to give Arsenal FC a 0-1 advantage.
1-0
4'
Throw-in Arsenal FC.
4'
Mike Dean awards the home team a throw-in.
2'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in their own half.
1'
Ball goes out of play for a Arsenal FC goal kick.
1'
The first-half is now underway.
Match Stats
Arsenal
 MATCH STATS
Newcastle
17 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
62% Possession % 38%
8 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
7 Corners 3
Arsenal[object Object]
Newcastle[object Object]
17 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
62% Possession % 38%
8 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
7 Corners 3
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Newcastle vs. Arsenal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Sunday, May 2, 2021
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St James' Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Newcastle +290, Arsenal -105, Draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-133/+110)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Newcastle: 25.8%
  • Arsenal: 49.3%
  • Draw: 24.9%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Newcastle 1-2 Arsenal, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Newcastle a win probability of 25.8%, while Arsenal has a win probability of 49.3%. The chance of a draw is 24.9%.

Summary

Our Newcastle vs. Arsenal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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