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Everton vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Everton vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on May 1, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
2
1
May 1, 7PM Goodison Park
Everton
May 1, 7PM Goodison Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
EvertonEVE
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Calvert-Lewin (19')
Watkins (13')
El (80')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
EVE
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Throw-in for Everton FC in their own half.
90'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
90'
Throw-in Everton FC.
90'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Everton FC in their own half.
90'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Anwar El Ghazi with Keinan Davis. This is the second substitution made today by Dean Smith.
90'
Simon Hooper awards the away team a throw-in.
90'
Yellow Card
Aston Villa FC's Anwar El Ghazi has been booked in Liverpool.
90'
Everton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
90'
Free kick Aston Villa FC.
89'
Throw-in for Everton FC at Goodison Park.
89'
Everton FC needs to be cautious. Aston Villa FC have an attacking throw-in.
88'
Substitution
Jacob Ramsey is replacing Bertrand Traore for Aston Villa FC at Goodison Park.
88'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Goodison Park.
86'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Everton FC.
85'
Everton FC are coming forward and Joshua King gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
85'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Liverpool.
84'
Everton FC have a goal kick.
84'
Aston Villa FC's Bertrand Traore breaks free at Goodison Park. But the strike goes wide of the post.
82'
Substitution
Carlo Ancelotti (Everton FC) is making a third substitution, with Joshua King replacing Gylfi Sigurdsson.
82'
Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
80'
Anwar El Ghazi puts the ball in the net and the away team now lead 1-2.
2-1
79'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin of Everton FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
79'
Simon Hooper awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
79'
Can Everton FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Aston Villa FC's half?
78'
In Liverpool Aston Villa FC's Bertrand Traore is caught offside.
77'
Aston Villa FC are pushing forward but Ollie Watkins's finish is wide of the goal.
77'
Goal kick for Everton FC at Goodison Park.
77'
Aston Villa FC to take a throw-in in Everton FC territory.
76'
Substitution
The home team have replaced Alex Iwobi with Bernard. This is the second substitution made today by Carlo Ancelotti.
76'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
74'
Free kick for Everton FC in their own half.
74'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
73'
Everton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
71'
Free kick Everton FC.
71'
Simon Hooper awards the away team a throw-in.
70'
Everton FC have a goal kick.
70'
Substitution
Carlo Ancelotti is making the team's first substitution at Goodison Park with Fabian Delph replacing Andre Gomes.
69'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Everton FC.
69'
Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Everton FC's half?
68'
Lucas Digne is back on the pitch.
67'
Play has been interrupted briefly in Liverpool to check on Lucas Digne, who is grimacing with pain.
66'
Everton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
65'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.
64'
Throw-in for Everton FC in their own half.
63'
Throw-in for Everton FC at Goodison Park.
63'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Simon Hooper.
62'
In Liverpool Everton FC drive forward through Richarlison. His shot is on target but it's saved.
60'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
60'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
59'
Throw-in Aston Villa FC.
57'
Everton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
57'
Simon Hooper signals a throw-in for Everton FC, close to Aston Villa FC's area.
56'
Throw-in for Everton FC close to the penalty box.
55'
Everton FC's Richarlison gets his shot away but it misses the target.
55'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Liverpool.
54'
Aston Villa FC's Ollie Watkins has run offside.
54'
Allan for Everton FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
54'
Simon Hooper awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
53'
Everton FC's Alex Iwobi gets his shot away but it misses the target.
53'
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
52'
Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
50'
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
50'
Everton FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.
49'
Throw-in high up the field for Aston Villa FC in Liverpool.
47'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
46'
Ball safe as Everton FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
45'
The whistle has gone to end the first-half.
45'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Liverpool.
45'
Everton FC have been awarded a corner by Simon Hooper.
45'
Corner awarded to Everton FC.
45'
Throw-in for Everton FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
45'
In Liverpool a free kick has been awarded the home team.
44'
Free kick for Everton FC in their own half.
44'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Simon Hooper.
43'
In Liverpool Everton FC attack through Seamus Coleman. The finish is off target, however.
43'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Goodison Park.
41'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa FC) has received a first yellow card.
41'
Free kick Everton FC.
41'
Throw-in for Everton FC in their own half.
39'
Everton FC have a goal kick.
39'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Everton FC.
38'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Simon Hooper.
37'
Ollie Watkins hits the post! Very nearly a goal there in Liverpool for Aston Villa FC.
36'
In Liverpool a free kick has been awarded the home team.
35'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin of Everton FC is pulled up for offside.
33'
Everton FC are coming forward and Gylfi Sigurdsson gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
33'
Simon Hooper awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
32'
Great shot from Aston Villa FC's Ollie Watkins but he is denied by the crossbar.
32'
Ollie Watkins of Aston Villa FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
31'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC at Goodison Park.
31'
Can Everton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half?
31'
Throw-in Everton FC.
30'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
29'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
29'
Bertrand Traore gets his shot on target but fails to score for Aston Villa FC.
29'
In Liverpool Aston Villa FC drive forward through Bertrand Traore. His shot is on target but it's saved.
28'
Aston Villa FC's Ross Barkley breaks free at Goodison Park. But the strike goes wide of the post.
28'
Goal kick for Everton FC at Goodison Park.
27'
Can Aston Villa FC capitalize from this dangerous free kick?
27'
Matt Targett for Aston Villa FC is back on the field again.
26'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
25'
The match at Goodison Park has been interrupted briefly for a check on Matt Targett, who is down injured.
24'
Simon Hooper blows against Everton FC's Richarlison for offside.
23'
Everton FC pushes forward through Dominic Calvert-Lewin, whose finish on goal is saved.
22'
Aston Villa FC's Ollie Watkins gets in a shot on goal at Goodison Park. But the effort is unsuccessful.
21'
Simon Hooper signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Everton FC's half.
20'
Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.
20'
Simon Hooper awards the home team a throw-in.
19'
Goal! Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Everton FC) levels the score at 1-1 with a header in Liverpool.
1-1
19'
Everton FC have been awarded a corner by Simon Hooper.
17'
Aston Villa FC's Ollie Watkins looks ok and returns to the pitch.
17'
Ollie Watkins for Aston Villa FC drives towards goal at Goodison Park. But the finish is unsuccessful.
17'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
16'
Attention is being given to Aston Villa FC’s Ollie Watkins and play has been suspended briefly.
15'
Free kick for Everton FC in their own half.
15'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Liverpool.
13'
Goal! The away team take a 0-1 lead through Ollie Watkins.
1-0
10'
Everton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
10'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.
9'
Simon Hooper signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Everton FC's half.
9'
Anwar El Ghazi for Aston Villa FC is whistled offside.
7'
Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Everton FC's half?
6'
Aston Villa FC's John McGinn misses with an attempt on goal.
6'
Simon Hooper awards Everton FC a goal kick.
5'
Aston Villa FC have a dangerous throw-in.
5'
Aston Villa FC to take a throw-in in Everton FC territory.
5'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Everton FC.
4'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
3'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
3'
Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
1'
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
1'
The whistle has gone to start the match.
Match Stats
Aston Villa
 MATCH STATS
Everton
17 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
53% Possession % 47%
13 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
6 Corners 3
Aston Villa[object Object]
Everton[object Object]
17 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
53% Possession % 47%
13 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
6 Corners 3
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Everton vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Everton vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Goodison Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Everton +100, Aston Villa +285, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-115/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Everton: 49.5%
  • Aston Villa: 24.6%
  • Draw: 25.9%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Everton 2-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Everton a win probability of 49.5%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 24.6%. The chance of a draw is 25.9%.

Summary

Our Everton vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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