NFL Player Props

Dimers.com's NFL Player Props page is the ultimate destination for finding the best NFL prop bets in Week 4. Whether you're looking for the most promising NFL player props today or simply exploring options for the upcoming Week 4 games, our data has you covered. With Dimers, you'll find expert prop bets that offer you the best chance to make smart, data-driven NFL prop bets this week.

Who are the Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 4?

As the NFL season kicks off with a series of exciting matchups, Dimers has spotlighted several NFL player props for Week 4 that stand out due to their strong probabilities and edges.

Dimers' Top-4 NFL prop bets below offer a mix of enticing odds and high probabilities in Week 4, making them valuable considerations as you plan your NFL Week 4 player props betting strategy.

Alvin Kamara Under 27.5 Receiving Yards:

Alvin Kamara is known for his dual-threat ability as both a runner and a receiver, but this matchup against the Falcons looks more challenging for him in the passing game. With a projection of only 18.6 receiving yards and a strong 77.9% probability of hitting the under, the Saints may focus more on his rushing ability or use other targets in their passing attack. The Falcons' defense has shown improvement in defending pass-catching running backs, making this under a smart bet with a significant edge of 24.6%. Kamara's receiving role could be minimized in this contest, making the under a solid value.

Jalen Hurts to Score a Touchdown:

Jalen Hurts has been a force in the red zone, especially with his rushing ability, making him a constant threat to score touchdowns. In this matchup against the Buccaneers, Hurts has a 53.9% probability of crossing the goal line, providing value at +130 odds. The Eagles often lean on their quarterback in short-yardage and goal-line situations, giving this prop an appealing edge of 10.4%. Hurts' versatility and usage near the end zone make him a prime candidate to score, making this a favorable prop for Week 4.

Brock Purdy Over 225.5 Passing Yards:

Brock Purdy has been steadily improving as the 49ers' starting quarterback, and this game against the Patriots offers a favorable opportunity for him to air it out. Purdy is projected to throw for 261.6 yards, and with a probability of 62.8%, he should comfortably surpass the 225.5 passing yards line. The 49ers have a balanced offensive attack, but they may lean more on Purdy's arm in this matchup, especially if they face a stout Patriots run defense. With a 9.3% edge, Purdy looks set to deliver through the air, making this an attractive over bet.

Justin Fields Over 39.5 Rushing Yards:

Justin Fields’ ability to make plays with his legs has been a hallmark of his game, and Week 4 sets up perfectly for him to exceed 39.5 rushing yards. Against a Colts defense that has struggled against mobile quarterbacks, Fields is projected for 54.8 rushing yards, giving him an 83.7% probability of hitting the over. With a significant edge of 28.1%, this prop offers strong value, especially given Fields' increasing tendency to scramble under pressure. Expect him to exploit the Colts' defensive vulnerabilities and easily surpass this rushing mark.

What Are NFL Player Props?

Player prop bets leverage a data-driven approach to identify high-value betting opportunities by analyzing various performance metrics and historical data. Their process involves calculating the probability of different outcomes and assessing the edge, or the expected advantage, associated with each bet.

By evaluating these factors, Dimers highlights prop bets with significant statistical support, providing bettors with a clear view of which outcomes are more likely to occur based on current trends and matchups. This rigorous analysis helps bettors make informed decisions by focusing on bets with strong probabilities and favorable edges, ultimately enhancing their chances of successful wagers.

Why Trust Dimers' NFL Best Props

Our NFL best props are generated using the same rigorous data-driven process that powers all of Dimers' betting tools and insights. While our , NFL picks and best NFL bets offer broader insights into game outcomes, our NFL best props focus specifically on player performance, giving you a unique edge in the prop betting market. 

Dimers produces its NFL best prop bets by employing sophisticated algorithms and world-class data analysis techniques to evaluate a vast array of statistical information and historical performance metrics.

The process begins with collecting comprehensive data on player performances, team statistics, and game conditions. This data is then processed using advanced algorithms that assess various scenarios and probabilities, generating insights into the most likely outcomes for specific prop bets.

By combining these insights with edge calculations—measuring the potential advantage over the betting line - Dimers identifies which prop bets offer the most value. 

The major difference between Dimers' best prop bets and their NFL predictions, NFL picks, and NFL best bets lies in the focus and application of the analysis. Best prop bets are specifically designed to highlight individual player and team performance metrics that are likely to exceed or fall short of certain thresholds, based on the data-driven probabilities and edges.

In contrast, predictions, picks, and best bets cover a broader scope, including overall game outcomes, point spreads, and totals, which incorporate team dynamics, matchup analysis, and betting trends.

Understanding Different Types of NFL Prop Bets

As mentioned, NFL player props are specific bets that focus on individual player performance rather than the overall outcome of a game. These props allow you to wager on various aspects of a player's performance, adding another layer of excitement to your NFL betting experience. Below are some of the different types of prop bets you can find on this page:

Over/Under Yardage

Here, you're betting on whether a player will exceed or fall short of a certain yardage total, such as passing, rushing or receiving yards. For example, you might bet on Aaron Rodgers to throw for over 250 yards in a game.

First Touchdown Scorer

This bet involves picking the player who will score the first touchdown of the game. It's a high-reward prop that often offers enticing odds.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Similar to the first touchdown scorer, this bet allows you to pick a player to score a touchdown at any point during the game.

Player Attempts

This prop covers various attempts by a player, such as pass attempts by a quarterback or rushing attempts by a running back. For example, betting on Josh Allen to attempt over 30 passes in a game.

Other Types of Props

Dimers covers a wide range of other player props, including but not limited to receptions and pass completions. Check this page regularly for the latest updates and new prop bets.

More About NFL Prop Bets

While this page focuses on NFL player props, there are many other prop bets available, such as team props, game props and even Super Bowl props. These include bets on total team points, specific game outcomes and unique events during the Super Bowl. For a complete breakdown of these additional prop bets, visit Dimers' NFL news, where we cover everything you need to know to stay ahead in the NFL betting game.

How to Use Our Best NFL Props

Full access to Dimers' NFL best props is a premium feature available through Dimers Pro. As a paid subscriber, you unlock advanced data and insights that give you an edge over sportsbooks. By utilizing multiple sportsbooks, you can shop around for the best odds, ensuring you get the maximum value out of each prop bet. Remember, while our data can greatly improve your betting experience, it's important to practice responsible gambling. Always bet within your means and make informed decisions.

Why Dimers Is Your Home of NFL Betting

Dimers.com isn't just about NFL player props; we offer a full suite of NFL betting products, including NFL predictions, NFL picks, NFL best bets, NFL parlays, NFL trends, and more. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just getting started, Dimers is your one-stop shop for everything NFL betting. Explore our site to find all the tools and insights you need to make smart, informed bets throughout the 2024 NFL season.