Patriots vs. Lions: NFL Week 10 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Patriots vs. Lions prediction for Sunday, November 15, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
NFL
NFL sport icon
NFL
Patriots
Predicted score
24
:
26
Allianz Arena
Lions
Allianz Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Patriots +2.5
Spread
  • Patriots
    50.0%
    NovigNovig
  • Lions
    50.0%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Patriots
Probability
  • Corey Kiner
    38.1%
  • A.J. Brown
    32.1%
  • DeMario Douglas
    25.8%
  • Hunter Henry
  • Lan Larison
Lions
Probability
  • Jahmyr Gibbs
    67.7%
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown
    46.7%
  • Jameson Williams
    31.7%
  • Sam LaPorta
  • Sione Vaki
Projected Player Stats
Patriots Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
D. Maye
Lions Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
J. Goff
Patriots Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
C. Kiner
D. Maye
L. Larison
Lions Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
J. Gibbs
S. Vaki
J. Goff
Patriots Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
A. Brown
H. Henry
M. Hollins
D. Douglas
E. Raridon
Lions Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
A. St. Brown
J. Williams
S. LaPorta
J. Gibbs
I. TeSlaa

Patriots vs. Lions: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 10

  • Teams: New England Patriots vs. Detroit Lions
  • Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
  • Time: 9:30AM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Arena

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Patriots (+2.5, +108), Lions (-2.5, -111)
  • Moneyline: Patriots +138, Lions -138
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points (-108/+106)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Patriots: 40.5%
  • Lions: 59.5%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Patriots 23-26 Lions.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Patriots a win probability of 40.5%, while the Lions have a win probability of 59.5%.

Summary

The Patriots face off against the Lions in the NFL at Allianz Arena on Sunday, November 15, 2026.

Our Patriots vs. Lions predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.