Chiefs vs. Falcons: NFL Week 10 Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
- Chiefs
- Falcons
- Kenneth Walker63.2%
- Rashee Rice32.5%
- Travis Kelce27.6%
- Xavier Worthy
- Emmett Johnson
- Bijan Robinson59.4%
- Drake London29.8%
- Kyle Pitts28.0%
- Jahan Dotson
- Khalil Herbert
| Player | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|
| P. Mahomes |
| Player | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|
| M. Penix |
| Player | Touchdown %TD% | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|---|
| K. Walker | ||
| E. Johnson | ||
| P. Mahomes |
| Player | Touchdown %TD% | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|---|
| B. Robinson | ||
| K. Herbert | ||
| M. Penix |
| Player | Touchdown %TD% | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|---|
| R. Rice | ||
| T. Kelce | ||
| X. Worthy | ||
| J. Downs | ||
| K. Walker |
| Player | Touchdown %TD% | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|---|
| D. London | ||
| K. Pitts | ||
| J. Dotson | ||
| B. Robinson | ||
| O. Zaccheaus |
Chiefs vs. Falcons: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: NFL Week 10
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Time: 1:00PM ET
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Current betting odds
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5, +111), Falcons (+3.5, -113)
- Moneyline: Chiefs -170, Falcons +167
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points (-110/-108)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Chiefs: 62.8%
- Falcons: 37.2%
These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.
Projected final score
Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Chiefs 25-22 Falcons.
This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
The numbers give the Chiefs a win probability of 62.8%, while the Falcons have a win probability of 37.2%.
Summary
The Chiefs face off against the Falcons in the NFL at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, November 15, 2026.
Our Chiefs vs. Falcons predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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