Why You Should Bet Jayson Tatum Player Props Tonight in Celtics vs. Detroit Pistons

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Written by Nick Slade
Why You Should Bet Jayson Tatum Player Props Tonight in Celtics vs. Detroit Pistons

Dimers' predictive analytics model views Jayson Tatum's points total as far too low in tonight's meeting between the Boston Celtics and the Detroit Pistons. Our predictive analytics model has identified a huge edge on his points total for the night, so let us break down why Tatum is a great bet to absolutely torch the Pistons in this one.

Also, make sure you also check out our NBA best bets and NBA parlay for the evening. We've been extremely profitable with all of our picks this season, so we're confident you'll like what you see. Our props have also been a revelation for bettors all year, with our computer picks constantly finding massive opportunities for us.

RELATED: Check out our favorite NBA player props for tonight's slate

As always, we've simulated all of the night's NBA games 10,000 times each to determine where the value lies for sports bettors across the United States.

 

Boston Celtics' star Tatum heads to Detroit's Little Caesars Arena to face the Pistons. Tatum is predicted to have a monstrous showing, with the Dimers predictive analytics model expecting him to record 34 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists - despite the likelihood of a blowout.

Encouragingly for bettors, this points prediction of 34 surpasses the sportsbooks' line of 29.5, giving us a major edge heading into the game. The 24-year-old forward has been a standout performer for the Celtics this season, leading the team in scoring with an average of 30.9 points per game.

He has also averaged 8.7 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game, showing his all-around talent, while Tatum has also scored more than 29.5 points in 10 of his last 13 appearances. For the Pistons, Bojan Bogdanovic has scored more than 21.5 points in 14 of his last 24 appearances and we've got him down for 25 tonight.

Given Tatum's recent form and past performances against the Pistons, it's no surprise that the predictive analytics model is predicting a big game from him tonight. If Tatum can surpass the sportsbooks' line of 29.5 points, the Celtics - who are heavy favorites - should have no trouble registering another W.

Why Jayson Tatum Will Go Over 29.5 Points vs. Pistons

The main threat to Tatum’s ability to exceed that line of 29.5 points will most likely come down to how much time he spends on the floor late in the game. Dimers’ predictive analytics model expects the Celtics to win 120 - 110, in what could be a relatively one-sided affair, so perhaps it's worth considering Bojan Bogdanovic over 21.5 points (+100) if you're concerned about Tatum's minutes, or potential lack thereof.

Either way, at odds of -120, betting on Tatum to go over this line is the play for those looking to make a profit.

"It’s not all that common for an AI machine to generate a prediction that is significantly different from the sportsbooks’ line," said Dimers data journalist Kevin Hansen. "It is a testament to the power of predictive analytics and machine learning that we can identify these anomalies for sports bettors who can use them to their advantage. The key is to look for the discrepancies and act quickly to capitalize on them."

Despite the possibility of limited minutes, Jayson Tatum is still expected to have a big night against the Pistons, and NBA fans should look to take advantage of the discrepancy between the sportsbooks' line and the AI machine's prediction by betting his OVER 29.5 points.

With predictive analytics and machine learning, NBA fans can be smarter and more informed when placing their bets and making their player prop predictions.

 
 
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

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