Week 9 NFL: 10 Best Player Props For Sunday November 6, 2022

profile-img
Written by Nick Slade
Week 9 NFL: 10 Best Player Props For Sunday November 6, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NFL Week 9 player props for Sunday November 6, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NFL Week 9 predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NFL matchup.

For NFL we use the First touchdown, Anytime touchdown, Rushing yards, Receiving yards, Passing attempts, Passing completions and Passing yards player prop markets, then match them against the results of our simulations, to give us a massive opportunity to identify the best Week 9 NFL player prop bets for Sunday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

 

Week 9 NFL Player Props For Sunday

Vikings vs. Commanders

BET: T.J. Hockenson Over 3.5 Receptions (+126)

We predict Hockenson has a 73.4% chance of hitting his Receptions Over against the Commanders, so based on the +126 odds available, this presents a huge edge of 29.1% against his line of 3.5. To ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook. You can register an account here and score a $1000 risk-free bet.

Chargers vs. Falcons

BET: Austin Ekeler Under 5.5 Receptions (+110)

After over 10,000 simulations of this game, our predictive analytics model has determined that the 5.5 Receptions line set for Ekeler is too high and that he has a 76.4% chance of not obtaining that number. With +110 odds available at BetMGM Sportsbook, the Under represents a massive edge of 28.8%. Right now, BetMGM will give new users a $1,000 risk-free bet. Claim that cash here

BET: Marcus Mariota Over 24.5 Passing Attempts (+105)

DimersBOT has Mariota making down as a 76.7% chance of making Over 24.5 passing attempts today so, at odds of +105, betting this Over gives us an edge of 27.9%. We need to place this bet at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

BET: Austin Ekeler Under 55.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

DimersBOT is fading Ekeler hard today, this time going after his total Receiving Yards, having determined that the 55.5 Receiving Yards line set for him is too high and that he is a 82.4% chance of staying Under that mark. With -125 odds available at PointsBet Sportsbook, the Over represents an edge of 26.9%. Don't forget, PointsBet is giving new users 5x $100 free bets just for signing up. Join here

Dolphins vs. Bears

BET: Raheem Mostert Over 10.5 Receiving Yards (-105)

Following 10,000 different simulations of this matchup, our super computer has determined that the 10.5 Receiving Yards line set for Mostert is too low and that he is a 78.4% chance of going Over that mark. With -105 odds available at PointsBet Sportsbook, the Over represents an edge of 27.2%. Right now, PointsBet will give new users 5x $100 free bets just for signing up. Join here

Colts vs. Patriots

BET: Rhamondre Stevenson Under 16.5 Rushing Attempts (-110)

We expect Stevenson to fall short of this line and have him down as a 78.4% chance of doing so. Based on the -110 odds we can get, this presents a nice edge of 26.1% against his line of 16.5 rushing attempts. To ensure we maximize the value on offer here, we need to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook, who currently have the best new customer offer where new users can bet $5 on any NFL money line and get $200 in bonus bets if it hits, right here.

Titans vs. Chiefs

BET: Mecole Hardman Under 3.5 Receptions (-150)

Our predictive analytics model has determined that the 3.5 Receptions line set for Hardman is too high and that he is a 86% chance of falling short of that number. While these odds don't appear to be great, at -150 with PointsBet this is still an edge of 26%, so why not claim 5x $100 free bets just for signing up? Join PointsBet here.

Colts vs. Patriots

BET: Deon Jackson Under 2.5 Receptions (+135)

After over 10,000 simulations of the Colts-Patriots game, our predictive analytics model has determined that the 2.5 Receptions line set for Jackson is too high and he has a 68.5% chance of not reaching that mark. With +135 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Under represents an edge of 25.9%. Right now, DraftKings will give new users $200 in bonuses from a $5 NFL money line bet. Claim that cash here

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

BET: Geno Smith Under 18.5 Rushing Yards (-105)

DimersBOT has Smith down as a 76.3% chance of staying Under 18.5 rushing yards today, so, at odds of -105, betting this Under gives us an edge of 25.1%. To maximize this edge, we need to place the bet at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim them here.

available at Caesars Sportsbook, the Under represents an edge of 10.8%. Right now, Caesars will give new users a risk-free bet of up to $1250. Claim yours here

Packers vs. Lions

BET: D'Andre Swift Over 29.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

We expect Swift to have a 76.6% chance of hitting his Rushing Yards Over against the Packers, so based on the -110 odds available, this presents a huge edge of 24.2% against his line of 29.5. To ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook. You can register an account here and score a $1000 risk-free bet.

NFL Player Props Today

T.J Hockenson o3.5 Receptions Bet now (+126)
Austin Ekeler 
u5.5 Receptions Bet now (+110)
Marcus Mariota o24.5 Pass. Attempts Bet now (+105)
Raheem Mostert  o10.5 Rec. Yards Bet now (-105)
Austin Ekeler u55.5 Rec. Yards Bet now (-125)
Rhamondre Stevenson  u16.5 Rush. Attempts Bet now (-110)
Mecole Hardman u3.5 Receptions Bet now (-150)
Deon Jackson u2.5 Receptions Bet now (+135)
Geno Smith u18.5 Rush. Yards Bet now (-105)
D'Andre Swift o29.5 Rush. Yards Bet now (-110)
 
profile-img
Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers.com, Stats Insider, and Gambling Today, and specializes in soccer, NHL, and NBA betting.

Related Articles

More Articles
Loading...
Loading...
More from Dimers
About Dimers
icon 22,000+
Events covered per year
icon 10,000,000+
Users
Our partners
FanDuelDraftKingsBetMGMbet365