Commanders vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Wild Card Game [2025]

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will take on the Washington Commanders on Wild Card weekend of the NFL Playoffs at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Buccaneers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Washington-Tampa Bay game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Buccaneers with a win probability of 61%, while the Commanders have 39%."

This updated Commanders vs. Buccaneers betting preview builds on my early Commanders vs. Buccaneers prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Commanders vs. Buccaneers predictions page.

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Commanders vs. Bucs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between the Buccaneers and Commanders at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Buccaneers and Commanders gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Commanders vs. Buccaneers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Washington vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Commanders and Buccaneers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Buccaneers a 61% chance of defeating the Commanders. Our predicted final score has the Buccaneers winning 27-24.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Commanders and Buccaneers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Commanders	Buccaneers
Spread	+3 (-110)	-3 (-108)
Moneyline	+138	-155
Total	o51.5 (-106)	u51.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Commanders vs. Buccaneers matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Buccaneers TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Buccaneers?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Bucky Irving is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Buccaneers.

Our projections give Irving a 13.8% chance of getting in for six first at Raymond James Stadium, while the Buccaneers RB is a 58.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	First TD Probability
Jayden Daniels	8.6%
Brian Robinson	8.0%
Terry McLaurin	8.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player	First TD Probability
Bucky Irving	13.8%
Mike Evans	11.6%
Jalen McMillan	6.4%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jayden Daniels	39.8%
Brian Robinson	39.2%
Terry McLaurin	39.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Bucky Irving	58.4%
Mike Evans	51.6%
Jalen McMillan	32.5%

Commanders vs Buccaneers Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Buccaneers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Buccaneers page now to access every player prop projection.

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield.

Commanders Rushing

Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Austin Ekeler are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.

Player	Position
Brian Robinson	RB
Jayden Daniels	QB
Austin Ekeler	RB

Buccaneers Rushing

Bucky Irving, Baker Mayfield and Rachaad White are expected to lead the Buccaneers in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Bucky Irving	RB
Baker Mayfield	QB
Rachaad White	RB

Commanders Receiving

Terry McLaurin, Zach Ertz, Olamide Zaccheaus, Dyami Brown and Austin Ekeler are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.

Player	Position
Terry McLaurin	WR
Zach Ertz	TE
Olamide Zaccheaus	WR
Dyami Brown	WR
Austin Ekeler	RB

Buccaneers Receiving

Mike Evans, Jalen McMillan, Cade Otton, Sterling Shepard and Bucky Irving are projected to lead the Buccaneers in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Mike Evans	WR
Jalen McMillan	WR
Cade Otton	TE
Sterling Shepard	WR
Bucky Irving	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Buccaneers, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Buccaneers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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