Commanders vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 1 [2024]

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Washington Commanders will meet in Week 1 of the NFL season at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:25PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Buccaneers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Commanders-Buccaneers game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Buccaneers with a win probability of 64%, while the Commanders have 36%."

Commanders vs. Bucs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 1 matchup between the Buccaneers and Commanders at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Date: Sunday, September 8, 2024
• Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Buccaneers and Commanders gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on FOX via Hulu or FuboTV

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Commanders vs. Buccaneers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Buccaneers vs. Commanders picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Commanders and Buccaneers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Buccaneers a 64% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Buccaneers winning 23-19.

According to our model, the Buccaneers (-3.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Commanders	Buccaneers
Spread	+3.5 (-105)	-3.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+166	-198
Total	o42.5 (-105)	u42.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Commanders vs. Buccaneers matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Buccaneers TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs. Buccaneers?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Rachaad White is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Buccaneers.

Our projections give White an 11.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Raymond James Stadium, while the Buccaneers RB is a 45.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	First TD Probability
Jayden Daniels	9.5%
Brian Robinson	8.1%
Austin Ekeler	6.9%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player	First TD Probability
Rachaad White	11.5%
Mike Evans	10.3%
Chris Godwin	7.3%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jayden Daniels	39.6%
Brian Robinson	34.0%
Austin Ekeler	30.4%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Rachaad White	45.5%
Mike Evans	42.2%
Chris Godwin	29.3%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 1 touchdown scorer predictions

Commanders vs Buccaneers Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Buccaneers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Buccaneers page now to access every player prop projection.

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield.

Commanders Rushing

Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Austin Ekeler are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.

Player	Position
Brian Robinson	RB
Jayden Daniels	QB
Austin Ekeler	RB

Buccaneers Rushing

Rachaad White, Bucky Irving and Baker Mayfield are expected to lead the Buccaneers in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Rachaad White	RB
Bucky Irving	RB
Baker Mayfield	QB

Commanders Receiving

Terry McLaurin, Dyami Brown, Austin Ekeler, Zach Ertz and Olamide Zaccheaus are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.

Player	Position
Terry McLaurin	WR
Dyami Brown	WR
Austin Ekeler	RB
Zach Ertz	TE
Olamide Zaccheaus	WR

Buccaneers Receiving

Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Cade Otton, Jalen McMillan and Rachaad White are projected to lead the Buccaneers in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Mike Evans	WR
Chris Godwin	WR
Cade Otton	TE
Jalen McMillan	WR
Rachaad White	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Buccaneers, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Buccaneers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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