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Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win TNF Week 11 [2024]
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles matchup.
The Philadelphia Eagles will square off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 11 action at Lincoln Financial Field on Thursday, commencing at 8:15PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Eagles as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Commanders-Eagles game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Eagles with a win probability of 65% and the Commanders with 35%."
This updated Commanders vs. Eagles betting preview builds on our early Commanders vs. Eagles prediction released at the start of the week.
For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Commanders vs. Eagles predictions page.
Commanders vs. Eagles Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 action between the Eagles and Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.
- Who: Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Date: Thursday, November 14, 2024
- Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Eagles and Commanders gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Commanders vs. Eagles matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Washington vs. Philadelphia picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Commanders vs. Eagles Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL game between the Commanders and Eagles 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Eagles a 65% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Eagles winning 27-22.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Commanders and Eagles each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
In addition to our Commanders vs. Eagles predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for this week's action:
Commanders vs. Eagles Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Commanders | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -215 |
| Total | o49.5 (-105) | u49.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Commanders vs. Eagles Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Commanders vs. Eagles matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Commanders vs. Eagles TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs. Eagles?
According to our model, Philadelphia's Jalen Hurts is most likely to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Eagles.
Our projections give Hurts a 13.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Lincoln Financial Field, while the Eagles QB is a 56.5% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Washington Commanders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 9.6% |
| Brian Robinson | 8.0% |
| Terry McLaurin | 7.8% |
Philadelphia Eagles
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 13.9% |
| Saquon Barkley | 12.2% |
| A.J. Brown | 9.2% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Washington Commanders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 43.6% |
| Terry McLaurin | 37.8% |
| Brian Robinson | 37.7% |
Philadelphia Eagles
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 56.5% |
| Saquon Barkley | 53.0% |
| A.J. Brown | 42.9% |
Commanders vs Eagles Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Eagles. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Eagles page now to access every player prop projection.
Commanders vs. Eagles Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Eagles' Jalen Hurts.
Commanders Rushing
Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Austin Ekeler are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | RB |
| Jayden Daniels | QB |
| Austin Ekeler | RB |
Eagles Rushing
Saquon Barkley, Jalen Hurts and Kenneth Gainwell are expected to lead the Eagles in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | RB |
| Jalen Hurts | QB |
| Kenneth Gainwell | RB |
Commanders Receiving
Terry McLaurin, Noah Brown, Zach Ertz, Austin Ekeler and Olamide Zaccheaus are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | WR |
| Noah Brown | WR |
| Zach Ertz | TE |
| Austin Ekeler | RB |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR |
Eagles Receiving
A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, Saquon Barkley and Jahan Dotson are projected to lead the Eagles in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| A.J. Brown | WR |
| DeVonta Smith | WR |
| Dallas Goedert | TE |
| Saquon Barkley | RB |
| Jahan Dotson | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Eagles, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Eagles insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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