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Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]
The New York Jets will square off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 16 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers.com's full betting preview for this week's Commanders vs. Jets matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Commanders vs. Jets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used advanced machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Commanders and Jets 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL picks.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Jets a 60% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Jets winning 20-18.
According to our model, the Commanders (+3) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 36-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of going over.
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Commanders vs. Jets Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type | Commanders | Jets |
---|---|---|
Spread | +3 (-102) | -3 (-110) |
Moneyline | +148 | -165 |
Total | o36 (-110) | u36 (-110) |
- The Jets are listed as -3 favorites versus the Commanders, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Commanders (+3) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -102.
- BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jets at -165. That means you can risk $165 to win $100 for a total payout of $265 if they get the W.
- Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +148, where you can put down $100 to profit $148, earning a total payout of $248 if they win.
- The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 36 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, make sure you check the sports betting sites you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
Commanders vs. Jets Picks
By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks to place on this game:
Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
---|---|---|
Spread | Commanders +3 | -102 🔥 |
Moneyline | Commanders | +148 |
Total | Over 36 | -110 |
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Dimers' best bets today across any sport.
While the Jets are more likely to win the game, taking the Commanders moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Our NFL best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.
Commanders vs. Jets TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Jets?
According to our model, New York's Breece Hall is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Jets.
Our projections give Hall a 15.9% chance of getting in for six first at MetLife Stadium, while the Jets RB is a 53.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Washington Commanders
Player | First TD Probability |
---|---|
Antonio Gibson | 8.9% |
Terry McLaurin | 7.3% |
Jahan Dotson | 6.7% |
Curtis Samuel | 6.2% |
Logan Thomas | 5.3% |
New York Jets
Player | First TD Probability |
---|---|
Breece Hall | 15.9% |
Garrett Wilson | 11.9% |
Xavier Gipson | 6.4% |
Tyler Conklin | 5.7% |
Dalvin Cook | 4.8% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Washington Commanders
Player | Anytime TD Probability |
---|---|
Antonio Gibson | 32.7% |
Terry McLaurin | 27.9% |
Jahan Dotson | 25.3% |
Curtis Samuel | 23.5% |
Logan Thomas | 21.0% |
New York Jets
Player | Anytime TD Probability |
---|---|
Breece Hall | 53.5% |
Garrett Wilson | 41.6% |
Xavier Gipson | 24.4% |
Tyler Conklin | 22.3% |
Dalvin Cook | 19.1% |
Commanders vs Jets Player Props
Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Commanders and Jets, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.
Commanders vs. Jets Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 253 passing yards, while the Jets' Trevor Siemian is expected to throw for 205 yards.
Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
---|---|
Sam Howell (WAS) | 253 yds |
Trevor Siemian (NYJ) | 205 yds |
Commanders Rushing
Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
---|---|
Chris Rodriguez | 47 yds |
Antonio Gibson | 24 yds |
Sam Howell | 18 yds |
Jets Rushing
Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
---|---|
Breece Hall | 52 yds |
Dalvin Cook | 14 yds |
Israel Abanikanda | 11 yds |
Commanders Receiving
Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
---|---|
Terry McLaurin | 66 yds |
Jahan Dotson | 39 yds |
Curtis Samuel | 36 yds |
Antonio Gibson | 35 yds |
Logan Thomas | 25 yds |
Jets Receiving
Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
---|---|
Garrett Wilson | 62 yds |
Breece Hall | 37 yds |
Xavier Gipson | 29 yds |
Tyler Conklin | 29 yds |
Jeremy Ruckert | 18 yds |
Don't forget, our model updates often, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights ahead of the Commanders vs. Jets on Sunday December 24, 2023.
Commanders vs. Jets Game Information
The NFL Week 16 game between the Jets and Commanders at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets
- Date: Sunday December 24, 2023
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
Our full betting coverage of Commanders vs. Jets includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.
How to Bet on Commanders vs. Jets
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Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Commanders vs. Jets Week 14 contest, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Commanders vs. Jets predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.
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