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Read Article Commanders vs. Saints Prediction: Washington Predicted to Win in NFL Week 15 [2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints matchup.
The New Orleans Saints and Washington Commanders are scheduled to meet in Week 15 of the NFL season at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Commanders as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Washington-New Orleans game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Commanders with a win probability of 76%, while the Saints have 24%."
This updated Commanders vs. Saints betting preview builds on my early Commanders vs. Saints prediction that I published at the start of the week.
For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Commanders vs. Saints predictions page.
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The NFL Week 15 game between the Saints and Commanders at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Commanders vs. New Orleans Saints
- Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Saints and Commanders gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Commanders vs. Saints matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Washington vs. New Orleans picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Commanders vs. Saints Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Commanders and Saints 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Commanders a 76% chance of beating the Saints in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Commanders winning 25-18.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Commanders and Saints each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:45PM, Dec 15
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Along with our Commanders vs. Saints predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:
Commanders vs. Saints Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Commanders | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-105) | +7.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -340 | +310 |
| Total | o44.5 (-110) | u44.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Commanders vs. Saints Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Commanders vs. Saints matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Commanders-Saints Pick Get Dimers Pro Commanders vs. Saints TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs. Saints?
According to our model, Washington's Jayden Daniels is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Saints.
Our projections give Daniels a 12.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Caesars Superdome, while the Commanders QB is a 47.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Washington Commanders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 12.3% |
| Brian Robinson | 12.1% |
| Terry McLaurin | 9.4% |
New Orleans Saints
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 9.8% |
| Jake Haener | 8.5% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 5.1% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Washington Commanders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 47.7% |
| Brian Robinson | 46.8% |
| Terry McLaurin | 38.7% |
New Orleans Saints
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 40.5% |
| Jake Haener | 35.3% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 23.0% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 15 touchdown scorer predictions
Commanders vs Saints Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Saints. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Saints page now to access every player prop projection.
Commanders vs. Saints Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for more yards than the Saints' Jake Haener.
Commanders Rushing
Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Chris Rodriguez are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | RB |
| Jayden Daniels | QB |
| Chris Rodriguez | RB |
Saints Rushing
Alvin Kamara, Kendre Miller and Jake Haener are expected to lead the Saints in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | RB |
| Kendre Miller | RB |
| Jake Haener | QB |
Commanders Receiving
Terry McLaurin, Zach Ertz, Dyami Brown, Brian Robinson and Olamide Zaccheaus are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | WR |
| Zach Ertz | TE |
| Dyami Brown | WR |
| Brian Robinson | RB |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR |
Saints Receiving
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Juwan Johnson, Alvin Kamara, Foster Moreau and Cedrick Wilson are projected to lead the Saints in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR |
| Juwan Johnson | TE |
| Alvin Kamara | RB |
| Foster Moreau | TE |
| Cedrick Wilson | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Commanders, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Saints insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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