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Commanders vs. Lions Prediction: Detroit Predicted to Win Divisional Round Game [2025]
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions matchup.

The Detroit Lions will square off with the Washington Commanders in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at Ford Field on Saturday, commencing at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Washington-Detroit game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Lions are more likely to win, while the Commanders have a lower chance of victory."
This updated Commanders vs. Lions betting preview builds on my early Commanders vs. Lions prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Commanders vs. Lions predictions page.
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Commanders vs. Lions Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's matchup between the Lions and Commanders at Ford Field is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions
- Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Ford Field
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Lions and Commanders gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Commanders vs. Lions matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Washington vs. Detroit picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Commanders vs. Lions Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NFL game between the Commanders and Lions 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lions a 75% chance of defeating the Commanders. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 31-23.
According to our model, the Lions (-7.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Commanders vs. Lions Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type | Commanders | Lions |
---|---|---|
Spread | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) |
Moneyline | +400 | -430 |
Total | o55.5 (-105) | u55.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Commanders vs. Lions Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Commanders vs. Lions matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Commanders vs. Lions TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Lions?
According to our model, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Lions.
Our projections give Gibbs a 16.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Lions RB is a 66.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Washington Commanders
Player | First TD Probability |
---|---|
Terry McLaurin | 8.6% |
Jayden Daniels | 7.3% |
Brian Robinson | 6.6% |
Detroit Lions
Player | First TD Probability |
---|---|
Jahmyr Gibbs | 16.0% |
David Montgomery | 10.9% |
Amon-Ra St. Brown | 8.8% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Washington Commanders
Player | Anytime TD Probability |
---|---|
Terry McLaurin | 43.8% |
Jayden Daniels | 39.3% |
Austin Ekeler | 35.4% |
Detroit Lions
Player | Anytime TD Probability |
---|---|
Jahmyr Gibbs | 66.7% |
David Montgomery | 52.1% |
Amon-Ra St. Brown | 44.8% |
Commanders vs Lions Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Lions. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Lions page now to access every player prop projection.
Commanders vs. Lions Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Lions' Jared Goff.
Commanders Rushing
Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Austin Ekeler are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.
Player | Position |
---|---|
Brian Robinson | RB |
Jayden Daniels | QB |
Austin Ekeler | RB |
Lions Rushing
Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery and Craig Reynolds are expected to lead the Lions in rushing yards.
Player | Position |
---|---|
Jahmyr Gibbs | RB |
David Montgomery | RB |
Craig Reynolds | RB |
Commanders Receiving
Terry McLaurin, Zach Ertz, Dyami Brown, Olamide Zaccheaus and Austin Ekeler are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.
Player | Position |
---|---|
Terry McLaurin | WR |
Zach Ertz | TE |
Dyami Brown | WR |
Olamide Zaccheaus | WR |
Austin Ekeler | RB |
Lions Receiving
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs and Tim Patrick are projected to lead the Lions in receiving yards.
Player | Position |
---|---|
Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR |
Jameson Williams | WR |
Sam LaPorta | TE |
Jahmyr Gibbs | RB |
Tim Patrick | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Lions insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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