Commanders vs. Lions Prediction: Detroit Predicted to Win Divisional Round Game [2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Saturday's Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions matchup.

Washington Commanders-Detroit Lions Predictions and Game Preview.
Ford Field sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Washington Commanders and Detroit Lions this Saturday.

The Detroit Lions will square off with the Washington Commanders in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at Ford Field on Saturday, commencing at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Washington-Detroit game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Lions are more likely to win, while the Commanders have a lower chance of victory."

This updated Commanders vs. Lions betting preview builds on my early Commanders vs. Lions prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Commanders vs. Lions predictions page.

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Commanders vs. Lions Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's matchup between the Lions and Commanders at Ford Field is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Commanders vs. Lions matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Washington vs. Detroit picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Lions Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NFL game between the Commanders and Lions 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lions a 75% chance of defeating the Commanders. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 31-23.

According to our model, the Lions (-7.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

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Commanders vs. Lions Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Commanders Lions
Spread +7.5 (-105) -7.5 (-115)
Moneyline +400 -430
Total o55.5 (-105) u55.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Commanders vs. Lions Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Commanders vs. Lions matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Commanders vs. Lions TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Lions?

According to our model, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Lions.

Our projections give Gibbs a 16.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Lions RB is a 66.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player First TD Probability
Terry McLaurin 8.6%
Jayden Daniels 7.3%
Brian Robinson 6.6%

Detroit Lions

Player First TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs 16.0%
David Montgomery 10.9%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 8.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player Anytime TD Probability
Terry McLaurin 43.8%
Jayden Daniels 39.3%
Austin Ekeler 35.4%

Detroit Lions

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs 66.7%
David Montgomery 52.1%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 44.8%

Commanders vs Lions Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Lions. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Lions page now to access every player prop projection.

Commanders vs. Lions Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Lions' Jared Goff.

Commanders Rushing

Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Austin Ekeler are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.

Player Position
Brian Robinson RB
Jayden Daniels QB
Austin Ekeler RB

Lions Rushing

Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery and Craig Reynolds are expected to lead the Lions in rushing yards.

Player Position
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
David Montgomery RB
Craig Reynolds RB

Commanders Receiving

Terry McLaurin, Zach Ertz, Dyami Brown, Olamide Zaccheaus and Austin Ekeler are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.

Player Position
Terry McLaurin WR
Zach Ertz TE
Dyami Brown WR
Olamide Zaccheaus WR
Austin Ekeler RB

Lions Receiving

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs and Tim Patrick are projected to lead the Lions in receiving yards.

Player Position
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
Jameson Williams WR
Sam LaPorta TE
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
Tim Patrick WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Lions insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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