Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction: Washington Predicted to Win in NFL Week 18 [2025]

NFL Week 18 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the favored Washington Commanders square off with the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Commanders as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Washington-Dallas game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Commanders with a win probability of 75%, while the Cowboys have 25%."

This updated Commanders vs. Cowboys betting preview builds on my early Commanders vs. Cowboys prediction that I published at the start of the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Commanders vs. Cowboys predictions page.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 18 action between the Cowboys and Commanders at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys
• Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: AT&T Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Cowboys and Commanders gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Commanders vs. Cowboys matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Washington vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Commanders and Cowboys 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Commanders a 75% chance of beating the Cowboys in Week 18 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Commanders winning 25-18.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Commanders and Cowboys each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Commanders vs. Cowboys matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs. Cowboys?

According to our model, Washington's Jayden Daniels is most likely to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Cowboys.

Our projections give Daniels a 10.4% chance of scoring the first TD at AT&T Stadium, while the Commanders QB is a 42.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Dallas Cowboys

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Dallas Cowboys

Commanders vs Cowboys Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Cowboys. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Cowboys page now to access every player prop projection.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Cowboys' Trey Lance.

Commanders Rushing

Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Jeremy McNichols are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.

Cowboys Rushing

Rico Dowdle, Trey Lance and Deuce Vaughn are expected to lead the Cowboys in rushing yards.

Commanders Receiving

Terry McLaurin, Olamide Zaccheaus, Zach Ertz, Dyami Brown and Jamison Crowder are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.

Cowboys Receiving

Brandin Cooks, Jalen Tolbert, Jake Ferguson, Jalen Brooks and KaVontae Turpin are projected to lead the Cowboys in receiving yards.

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Conclusion

We predict the Commanders, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Week 18 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Cowboys insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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