Commanders vs. Bengals Prediction: Cincinnati Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for MNF Week 3 [2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver
Washington Commanders-Cincinnati Bengals Predictions and Game Preview.
Paycor Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Washington Commanders and Cincinnati Bengals this Monday.

The Cincinnati Bengals and Washington Commanders are scheduled to meet in Week 3 of the NFL season at Paycor Stadium on Monday, starting at 8:15PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Bengals as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Commanders-Bengals game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Bengals are likely to win, with a probability of 71%, compared to the Commanders' 29%."

Commanders vs. Bengals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 3 game between the Bengals and Commanders at Paycor Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Commanders vs. Bengals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Bengals vs. Commanders picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Commanders vs. Bengals Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NFL matchup between the Commanders and Bengals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Bengals a 71% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bengals winning 26-20.

According to our model, the Commanders (+7.5) have a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

 

Commanders vs. Bengals Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Commanders Bengals
Spread +7.5 (-115) -7.5 (-105)
Moneyline +290 -340
Total o46.5 (-120) u46.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Commanders vs. Bengals Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Commanders vs. Bengals matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Bengals TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs. Bengals?

According to our model, Cincinnati's Zack Moss is most likely to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Bengals.

Our projections give Moss an 11.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Paycor Stadium, while the Bengals RB is a 47.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player First TD Probability
Jayden Daniels 9.2%
Brian Robinson 8.7%
Austin Ekeler 5.8%

Cincinnati Bengals

Player First TD Probability
Zack Moss 11.3%
Ja'Marr Chase 11.2%
Tee Higgins 10.5%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jayden Daniels 41.5%
Brian Robinson 40.0%
Austin Ekeler 27.2%

Cincinnati Bengals

Player Anytime TD Probability
Zack Moss 47.7%
Ja'Marr Chase 46.8%
Tee Higgins 44.9%

Commanders vs Bengals Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Bengals. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Bengals page now to access every player prop projection.

Commanders vs. Bengals Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bengals' Joe Burrow.

Commanders Rushing

Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Austin Ekeler are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.

Player Position
Brian Robinson RB
Jayden Daniels QB
Austin Ekeler RB

Bengals Rushing

Zack Moss, Chase Brown and Joe Burrow are expected to lead the Bengals in rushing yards.

Player Position
Zack Moss RB
Chase Brown RB
Joe Burrow QB

Commanders Receiving

Terry McLaurin, Luke McCaffrey, Zach Ertz, Austin Ekeler and Dyami Brown are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.

Player Position
Terry McLaurin WR
Luke McCaffrey WR
Zach Ertz TE
Austin Ekeler RB
Dyami Brown WR

Bengals Receiving

Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Mike Gesicki, Andrei Iosivas and Chase Brown are projected to lead the Bengals in receiving yards.

Player Position
Ja'Marr Chase WR
Tee Higgins WR
Mike Gesicki TE
Andrei Iosivas WR
Chase Brown RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Bengals, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Bengals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver is a seasoned sports betting expert specializing in NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer, offering detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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