Commanders vs. Ravens Prediction: Baltimore Predicted to Win in NFL Week 6 [2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver
Washington Commanders-Baltimore Ravens Predictions and Game Preview.
M&T Bank Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Washington Commanders and Baltimore Ravens this Sunday.

The Baltimore Ravens will square off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 6 action at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Ravens as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Commanders-Ravens game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Ravens with a win probability of 72%, while the Commanders have 28%."

Commanders vs. Ravens Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 6 matchup between the Ravens and Commanders at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Commanders vs. Ravens matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Ravens vs. Commanders picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Commanders vs. Ravens Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Commanders and Ravens 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Ravens a 72% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 6 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 28-22.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Commanders and Ravens each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 50.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

In addition to our Commanders vs. Ravens predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:

Commanders vs. Ravens Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Commanders Ravens
Spread +7 (-108) -7 (-110)
Moneyline +260 -310
Total o50.5 (-110) u50.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Commanders vs. Ravens Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Commanders vs. Ravens matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Ravens TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Ravens?

According to our model, Baltimore's Derrick Henry is most likely to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Henry a 19.1% chance of scoring the first TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Ravens RB is a 71.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player First TD Probability
Jayden Daniels 10.2%
Austin Ekeler 8.2%
Terry McLaurin 6.6%

Baltimore Ravens

Player First TD Probability
Derrick Henry 19.1%
Lamar Jackson 8.7%
Zay Flowers 7.6%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jayden Daniels 48.5%
Austin Ekeler 40.7%
Terry McLaurin 34.3%

Baltimore Ravens

Player Anytime TD Probability
Derrick Henry 71.2%
Lamar Jackson 41.2%
Zay Flowers 36.3%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 6 touchdown scorer predictions

Commanders vs Ravens Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Ravens. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Ravens page now to access every player prop projection.

Commanders vs. Ravens Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Ravens' Lamar Jackson.

Commanders Rushing

Jayden Daniels, Austin Ekeler and Jeremy McNichols are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.

Player Position
Jayden Daniels QB
Austin Ekeler RB
Jeremy McNichols RB

Ravens Rushing

Derrick Henry, Lamar Jackson and Justice Hill are expected to lead the Ravens in rushing yards.

Player Position
Derrick Henry RB
Lamar Jackson QB
Justice Hill RB

Commanders Receiving

Terry McLaurin, Noah Brown, Luke McCaffrey, Zach Ertz and Austin Ekeler are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.

Player Position
Terry McLaurin WR
Noah Brown WR
Luke McCaffrey WR
Zach Ertz TE
Austin Ekeler RB

Ravens Receiving

Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely and Justice Hill are projected to lead the Ravens in receiving yards.

Player Position
Zay Flowers WR
Rashod Bateman WR
Mark Andrews TE
Isaiah Likely TE
Justice Hill RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Ravens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver is a seasoned sports betting expert specializing in NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball and soccer, offering detailed game previews, best bets, props and futures articles.

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