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Commanders vs. Ravens Prediction: Baltimore Predicted to Win in NFL Week 6 [2024]
The Baltimore Ravens will square off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 6 action at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Ravens as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Commanders-Ravens game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Ravens with a win probability of 72%, while the Commanders have 28%."
Commanders vs. Ravens Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 6 matchup between the Ravens and Commanders at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Ravens and Commanders gear at Fanatics
- Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Commanders vs. Ravens matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Ravens vs. Commanders picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.
Commanders vs. Ravens Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Commanders and Ravens 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Ravens a 72% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 6 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 28-22.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Commanders and Ravens each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 50.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
In addition to our Commanders vs. Ravens predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:
Commanders vs. Ravens Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Commanders | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7 (-108) | -7 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +260 | -310 |
| Total | o50.5 (-110) | u50.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Commanders vs. Ravens Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Commanders vs. Ravens matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Commanders vs. Ravens TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Ravens?
According to our model, Baltimore's Derrick Henry is most likely to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Ravens.
Our projections give Henry a 19.1% chance of scoring the first TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Ravens RB is a 71.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Washington Commanders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 10.2% |
| Austin Ekeler | 8.2% |
| Terry McLaurin | 6.6% |
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 19.1% |
| Lamar Jackson | 8.7% |
| Zay Flowers | 7.6% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Washington Commanders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 48.5% |
| Austin Ekeler | 40.7% |
| Terry McLaurin | 34.3% |
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 71.2% |
| Lamar Jackson | 41.2% |
| Zay Flowers | 36.3% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 6 touchdown scorer predictions
Commanders vs Ravens Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Ravens. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Ravens page now to access every player prop projection.
Commanders vs. Ravens Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Ravens' Lamar Jackson.
Commanders Rushing
Jayden Daniels, Austin Ekeler and Jeremy McNichols are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | QB |
| Austin Ekeler | RB |
| Jeremy McNichols | RB |
Ravens Rushing
Derrick Henry, Lamar Jackson and Justice Hill are expected to lead the Ravens in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | RB |
| Lamar Jackson | QB |
| Justice Hill | RB |
Commanders Receiving
Terry McLaurin, Noah Brown, Luke McCaffrey, Zach Ertz and Austin Ekeler are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | WR |
| Noah Brown | WR |
| Luke McCaffrey | WR |
| Zach Ertz | TE |
| Austin Ekeler | RB |
Ravens Receiving
Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely and Justice Hill are projected to lead the Ravens in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | WR |
| Rashod Bateman | WR |
| Mark Andrews | TE |
| Isaiah Likely | TE |
| Justice Hill | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Ravens, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Ravens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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