Commanders vs. Cardinals Prediction: Arizona Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

The Arizona Cardinals will take on the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 4 action at State Farm Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:05PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Cardinals as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Commanders-Cardinals game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Cardinals with a win probability of 61%, while the Commanders have 39%."

Commanders vs. Cardinals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 game between the Cardinals and Commanders at State Farm Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Arizona Cardinals
• Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Time: 4:05PM ET/1:05PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Cardinals and Commanders gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on FOX via Hulu or FuboTV

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Commanders vs. Cardinals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Cardinals vs. Commanders picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Commanders vs. Cardinals Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Commanders and Cardinals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Cardinals a 61% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Cardinals winning 26-23.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Commanders and Cardinals each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Along with our Commanders vs. Cardinals predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 4
• NFL Player Props for Week 4
• Anytime TD Scorer Predictions for Week 4

Commanders vs. Cardinals Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Commanders	Cardinals
Spread	+3.5 (-110)	-3.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+152	-180
Total	o48.5 (-110)	u48.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Commanders vs. Cardinals Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Commanders vs. Cardinals matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Cardinals TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Cardinals?

According to our model, Arizona's James Conner is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Cardinals.

Our projections give Conner a 13.0% chance of scoring the first TD at State Farm Stadium, while the Cardinals RB is a 54.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	First TD Probability
Brian Robinson	11.6%
Jayden Daniels	11.6%
Terry McLaurin	6.0%

Arizona Cardinals

Player	First TD Probability
James Conner	13.0%
Marvin Harrison	11.2%
Kyler Murray	7.2%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jayden Daniels	50.7%
Brian Robinson	50.3%
Terry McLaurin	29.1%

Arizona Cardinals

Player	Anytime TD Probability
James Conner	54.0%
Marvin Harrison	47.7%
Kyler Murray	35.0%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions

Commanders vs Cardinals Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Cardinals. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Cardinals page now to access every player prop projection.

Commanders vs. Cardinals Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Cardinals' Kyler Murray.

Commanders Rushing

Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Jeremy McNichols are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.

Player	Position
Brian Robinson	RB
Jayden Daniels	QB
Jeremy McNichols	RB

Cardinals Rushing

James Conner, Kyler Murray and Trey Benson are expected to lead the Cardinals in rushing yards.

Player	Position
James Conner	RB
Kyler Murray	QB
Trey Benson	RB

Commanders Receiving

Terry McLaurin, Noah Brown, Brian Robinson, Zach Ertz and Dyami Brown are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.

Player	Position
Terry McLaurin	WR
Noah Brown	WR
Brian Robinson	RB
Zach Ertz	TE
Dyami Brown	WR

Cardinals Receiving

Marvin Harrison, Greg Dortch, Michael Wilson, Elijah Higgins and Tip Reiman are projected to lead the Cardinals in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Marvin Harrison	WR
Greg Dortch	WR
Michael Wilson	WR
Elijah Higgins	TE
Tip Reiman	TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Cardinals, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Cardinals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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