May 25, 2025
Stars vs. Oilers Prediction: Edmonton Predicted to Win Game 3 [2025]
Read Article Capitals vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Wednesday's NHL Matchup [11/27/2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Washington Capitals in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 7:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Washington-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Lightning's chance of winning at 58%, with the Capitals at 42%."
For further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Capitals vs. Lightning predictions page.
BLACK FRIDAY EXCLUSIVE: Use code PROFRIDAY at checkout now to get three months of Dimers Pro for the price of one! Hurry, this offer won't last long.
3 Months of Pro for the Price of 1 With Code PROFRIDAY Get Dimers Pro Caps vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's action between the Lightning and Capitals at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Wednesday, November 27, 2024
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Capitals vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Washington vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Capitals vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 58% chance of beating the Capitals.
According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:15AM, Nov 28
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Capitals vs. Lightning Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-185) | -1.5 (+154) |
| Moneyline | +136 | -155 |
| Total | o6.5 (+102) | u6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Lightning Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Capitals vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Capitals-Lightning Pick Get Dimers Pro Capitals vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Capitals vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Point a 9.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 44.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McMichael | 6.0% |
| Dylan Strome | 4.8% |
| Tom Wilson | 4.5% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 9.4% |
| Jake Guentzel | 8.5% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.7% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McMichael | 31.8% |
| Dylan Strome | 26.2% |
| Tom Wilson | 25.5% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 44.9% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 40.7% |
| Jake Guentzel | 40.6% |
Sports Betting Deals Available for Wednesday
To make the most of Wednesday's exciting day of sports, headlined by a huge day of NHL and NBA action, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that secures the choice of two amazing signup offers. Don't miss out!
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Capitals on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
Advertiser disclosure
Swipe across to view more offers 
22,000+ 
70,000+ 
10,000,000+ 
