Capitals vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Wednesday's NHL Matchup [11/27/2024]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.

Washington Capitals-Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions and Game Preview.
Amalie Arena sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the Washington Capitals and Tampa Bay Lightning this Wednesday.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Washington Capitals in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Washington-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Lightning's chance of winning at 58%, with the Capitals at 42%."

For further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Capitals vs. Lightning predictions page.

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Caps vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's action between the Lightning and Capitals at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Capitals vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Washington vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Capitals vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 58% chance of beating the Capitals.

According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Loading game data...

Capitals vs. Lightning Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Capitals Lightning
Puck Line +1.5 (-185) -1.5 (+154)
Moneyline +136 -155
Total o6.5 (+102) u6.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Capitals vs. Lightning Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Capitals vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Capitals vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Capitals vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point a 9.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 44.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Washington Capitals

Player First Goal Probability
Connor McMichael 6.0%
Dylan Strome 4.8%
Tom Wilson 4.5%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 9.4%
Jake Guentzel 8.5%
Nikita Kucherov 7.7%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Washington Capitals

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Connor McMichael 31.8%
Dylan Strome 26.2%
Tom Wilson 25.5%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 44.9%
Nikita Kucherov 40.7%
Jake Guentzel 40.6%

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Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Capitals on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Keep up with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest projections for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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