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Capitals vs. Canadiens Prediction: Washington Predicted to Win Friday's NHL Matchup [4/25/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Friday's Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens matchup.
The Montreal Canadiens will take on the Washington Capitals in the 2025 NHL Playoffs at Bell Centre on Friday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Washington-Montreal game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Capitals' chance of winning is 52%, while the Canadiens' is 48%."
For further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Capitals vs. Canadiens predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Capitals and Canadiens 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Capitals a 52% chance of beating the Canadiens.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:15PM, Apr 25
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
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Capitals vs. Canadiens Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+205) | +1.5 (-250) |
| Moneyline | -118 | +100 |
| Total | o5.5 (-125) | u5.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Capitals vs. Canadiens Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Capitals vs. Canadiens matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Capitals-Canadiens Pick Get Dimers Pro Capitals vs. Canadiens Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Canadiens?
According to our model, Montreal's Nick Suzuki is most likely to score the first goal in Capitals vs. Canadiens.
Our projections give Suzuki an 8.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Bell Centre, while the Canadiens star is a 37.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 8.0% |
| Dylan Strome | 5.6% |
| Tom Wilson | 4.9% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki | 8.0% |
| Cole Caufield | 6.0% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 5.2% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 36.7% |
| Dylan Strome | 29.5% |
| Tom Wilson | 25.9% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki | 37.6% |
| Cole Caufield | 29.3% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 28.7% |
Caps vs. Habs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Friday's game between the Canadiens and Capitals in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Friday, April 25, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Bell Centre
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the NHL to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Capitals and Canadiens, reached the NHL Playoffs 2025, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Capitals vs. Canadiens matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Washington vs. Montreal picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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