Vikings vs. Commanders Week 9 Prediction and Odds - Nov 6, 2022

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Vikings vs. Commanders Week 9 Prediction and Odds - Nov 6, 2022

The Washington Commanders and Minnesota Vikings are scheduled to meet in Week 9 of the NFL season at FedExField on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Vikings vs. Commanders, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

 

Who will win Vikings vs. Commanders?

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Vikings-Commanders NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Vikings a 62% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 9 of the NFL season.

More: Vikings vs. Commanders Simulated 10K Times

Vikings vs. Commanders Game Odds

  • Spread: Commanders +3.5 (-120), Vikings -3.5 (+100)
  • Moneyline: Commanders +143, Vikings -165
  • Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Commanders are currently +3.5 underdogs versus the Vikings, with -120 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Vikings (-3.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at +100.

Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +143. That means you can bet $100 to profit $143, earning a total payout of $243, if they win.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Vikings at -165, where you can risk $165 to win $100, for a total payout of $265, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Commanders (+3.5) are a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 43.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Betting Hack: The Way to Earn $200 in Free Bets From BetMGM

Best Bets for Vikings vs. Commanders

  • Spread: Commanders +3.5 @ -120 via DraftKings Sportsbook (56% probability)
  • Moneyline: Vikings @ -165 via BetMGM (62% probability)
  • Total: Under 43.5 @ -107 via PointsBet (50% probability)

 

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class modeling and wagering expertise to help you make more informed decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Vikings vs. Commanders Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Minnesota vs. Washington at FedExField in Week 9 has the Vikings winning 23-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Vikings-Commanders matchup in Week 9, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live updates.

Vikings vs. Commanders Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Vikings vs. Commanders? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Vikings and Commanders, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Minnesota's Dalvin Cook is most likely to score the first touchdown in Vikings vs. Commanders.

DimersBOT gives Cook a 14.2% chance of getting in for six first at FedExField, while the Vikings RB is a 54.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Minnesota Vikings

  • Dalvin Cook: 14.2% probability
  • Justin Jefferson: 13.8% probability
  • Adam Thielen: 7.0% probability
  • T.J. Hockenson: 6.1% probability
  • Alexander Mattison: 3.7% probability

Washington Commanders

  • Antonio Gibson: 8.8% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 8.1% probability
  • Brian Robinson: 8.0% probability
  • Curtis Samuel: 6.2% probability
  • Logan Thomas: 4.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Minnesota Vikings

  • Dalvin Cook: 54.1% probability
  • Justin Jefferson: 51.8% probability
  • Adam Thielen: 29.6% probability
  • T.J. Hockenson: 26.8% probability
  • Alexander Mattison: 16.7% probability

Washington Commanders

  • Antonio Gibson: 37.1% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 34.8% probability
  • Brian Robinson: 33.0% probability
  • Curtis Samuel: 27.1% probability
  • Logan Thomas: 19.9% probability

Vikings-Commanders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Kirk Cousins is projected to have a big game with 285 passing yards, while the Commanders' Taylor Heinicke is expected to throw for 225 yards.

Vikings Starting QB

  • Kirk Cousins: 285 projected yards

Commanders Starting QB

  • Taylor Heinicke: 225 projected yards

Vikings Rushing

  • Dalvin Cook: 82 projected yards
  • Alexander Mattison: 21 projected yards
  • Kirk Cousins: 8 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

  • Brian Robinson: 54 projected yards
  • Antonio Gibson: 35 projected yards
  • Taylor Heinicke: 24 projected yards

Vikings Receiving

  • Justin Jefferson: 107 projected yards
  • Adam Thielen: 52 projected yards
  • T.J. Hockenson: 44 projected yards
  • K.J. Osborn: 36 projected yards
  • Dalvin Cook: 17 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

  • Terry McLaurin: 65 projected yards
  • Curtis Samuel: 46 projected yards
  • Logan Thomas: 30 projected yards
  • Antonio Gibson: 28 projected yards
  • Dyami Brown: 14 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Vikings vs. Commanders on Sunday November 6, 2022.

 

Vikings vs. Commanders 2022

The NFL Week 9 action between the Commanders and Vikings at FedExField is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Washington Commanders
  • Date: Sunday November 6, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: FedExField

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Want more NFL predictions like this?

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That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets, which allows us to create the most authoritative NFL betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

It's only a click away, so why not see for yourself?

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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