Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/27/2024]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/27/2024]

The Toronto Maple Leafs will take on the Vegas Golden Knights in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview for Tuesday's Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used trusted machine learning and data to simulate the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Golden Knights and Maple Leafs 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NHL predictions.

Our famous predictive analytics model gives the Maple Leafs a 55% chance of defeating the Golden Knights.

According to our model, the Golden Knights (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 56% chance of going under.

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Golden Knights Maple Leafs
Puck Line +1.5 (-175) -1.5 (+150)
Moneyline +140 -162
Total o6.5 (+110) u6.5 (-134)
  • The Maple Leafs are listed as -1.5 favorites against the Golden Knights, with +150 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Golden Knights (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -175.
  • DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -162, which means you can risk $162 to win $100 for a total payout of $262 if they get the W.
  • BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Golden Knights at +140, where you can bet $100 to profit $140, earning a total payout of $240 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -134.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Picks

Our predictions, matched with the listed odds, reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in our NHL best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Golden Knights +1.5 -175
Moneyline Golden Knights +140
Total Under 6.5 -134

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, taking the Golden Knights moneyline is the best option due to the 3.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 9.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 45.0% chance of registering an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player First Goal Probability
Jonathan Marchessault 8.2%
Michael Amadio 5.1%
William Karlsson 4.2%
Ivan Barbashev 4.0%
Nicolas Roy 4.0%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 9.8%
William Nylander 5.9%
Mitchell Marner 5.1%
Bobby McMann 4.9%
John Tavares 4.7%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Jonathan Marchessault 39.3%
Michael Amadio 26.2%
Ivan Barbashev 22.1%
William Karlsson 20.9%
Sheldon Rempal 20.9%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 45.0%
William Nylander 31.4%
Mitchell Marner 26.1%
Bobby McMann 24.7%
John Tavares 23.5%

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Game Information

Tuesday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Golden Knights at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

 

Our full coverage of Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Conclusion

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay informed with the most recent NHL news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date predictions and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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