Updated Odds, Best Bets for Grizzlies vs. Mavericks NBA Play-In Tournament Game on Friday, April 18

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Reviewed by Nick Slade
We put every effort into ensuring information on Dimers is accurate. But double-check details that matter to you before making any wager.
NBA play-In Tournament, NBA Predictions, Grizzlies, Memphis Grizzlies, NBA Odds, Best Bets
Ahead of the Western Conference Play-In Tournament, we look at the updated odds and our best bet for Grizzlies-Mavericks.

The NBA Play-In Tournament concludes on Friday night with a pair of games deciding the 8-seed in each conference with the Heat vs. Hawks and Grizzlies vs. Mavericks.

The Grizzlies loss to the Warriors dropped them into this matchup with the Mavericks who defeated the Kings on Wednesday night.

Now, our predictive NBA model has updated with the latest odds, predictions, best bets and props for tonight's Grizzlies-Mavericks clash, where a $5 bet can unlock a $150 new-user bonus at bet365, a prime opportunity for local Grizzlies fans in bet365's latest state launch in Tennessee.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Updated Odds

From our full Grizzlies vs. Mavericks prediction, here are the latest odds for key betting markets in this NBA Play-In showdown, featuring the odds and lines available on bet365, where users can get a $150 bonus for placing their first $5 bet just by using the bet365 bonus code "DIMERS".

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Grizzlies favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +220, Grizzlies -270
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Game Predictions

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 28%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 72%. 

The Grizzlies have a 50.9% probability to cover the -6.5-point spread at odds of -110, while the total is predicted to go over 221.5 points with a 50.6% probability at odds of -110 on bet365.

Projected Stat Leaders:

Grizzlies

  • Ja Morant: 26 points
  • Zach Edey: 12 Rebounds
  • Ja Morant: 8 Assists

Mavericks

  • Anthony Davis: 28 Points
  • Anthony Davis: 12 Rebounds
  • Anthony Davis: 5 Assists
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Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Best Bet

After running over 10,000 simulations on this game, our model has identified the best prop to make in Grizzlies-Mavericks is on Ja Morant Over 6.5 assists.

Our model projects Morant for 7.8 assists while his line is set at 6.5 with odds of -115 on bet365 sportsbook.

Based on our 56.1% probability, the fair odds would be about -130 for this bet, giving us an edge of 2.7%.

Don't forget, a $5 bet on this prop or any other unlocks a $150 new-user bonus at bet365 sportsbook - learn more below.

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Responsible Gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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