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Updated Odds, Best Bets for Grizzlies vs. Mavericks NBA Play-In Tournament Game on Friday, April 18

The NBA Play-In Tournament concludes on Friday night with a pair of games deciding the 8-seed in each conference with the Heat vs. Hawks and Grizzlies vs. Mavericks.
The Grizzlies loss to the Warriors dropped them into this matchup with the Mavericks who defeated the Kings on Wednesday night.
Now, our predictive NBA model has updated with the latest odds, predictions, best bets and props for tonight's Grizzlies-Mavericks clash, where a $5 bet can unlock a $150 new-user bonus at bet365, a prime opportunity for local Grizzlies fans in bet365's latest state launch in Tennessee.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Updated Odds
From our full Grizzlies vs. Mavericks prediction, here are the latest odds for key betting markets in this NBA Play-In showdown, featuring the odds and lines available on bet365, where users can get a $150 bonus for placing their first $5 bet just by using the bet365 bonus code "DIMERS".
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Grizzlies favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +220, Grizzlies -270
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Game Predictions
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 28%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 72%.
The Grizzlies have a 50.9% probability to cover the -6.5-point spread at odds of -110, while the total is predicted to go over 221.5 points with a 50.6% probability at odds of -110 on bet365.
Projected Stat Leaders:
Grizzlies
- Ja Morant: 26 points
- Zach Edey: 12 Rebounds
- Ja Morant: 8 Assists
Mavericks
- Anthony Davis: 28 Points
- Anthony Davis: 12 Rebounds
- Anthony Davis: 5 Assists
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Best Bet
After running over 10,000 simulations on this game, our model has identified the best prop to make in Grizzlies-Mavericks is on Ja Morant Over 6.5 assists.
Our model projects Morant for 7.8 assists while his line is set at 6.5 with odds of -115 on bet365 sportsbook.
Based on our 56.1% probability, the fair odds would be about -130 for this bet, giving us an edge of 2.7%.
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