Troy vs. Kentucky Prediction: Kentucky Predicted to Win March Madness First Round Matchup [3/21/2025]

Kentucky and Troy will lock horns in March Madness First Round action at Fiserv Forum on Friday, with tipoff at 7:10PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Kentucky as the most likely winner of today's game.

Check the latest March Madness bracket projections and 2025 NCAA Championship probabilities from our expert team.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Troy-Kentucky game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict Kentucky's chance of winning is 84%, while Troy's is 16%."

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, visit our interactive Troy vs. Kentucky predictions page.

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Troy vs. Kentucky Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Second Round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAA Tournament matchup between Troy and Kentucky 10,000 times as part of our March Madness predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Kentucky an 84% chance of defeating Troy. Our predicted final score has Kentucky winning 83-71.

According to our model, Kentucky (-10.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 152.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Troy vs. Kentucky March Madness Odds

We have researched the best March Madness odds in America for this First Round game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Troy	Kentucky
Spread	+10.5 (-102)	-10.5 (-118)
Moneyline	+490	-650
Total	o152.5 (-105)	u152.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Boost your betting this month with the top March Madness betting sites and March Madness betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

Troy vs. Kentucky Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Troy vs. Kentucky matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best March Madness picks and March Madness best bets for every game throughout the tournament.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Troy vs. Kentucky Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's college basketball matchup between Kentucky and Troy at Fiserv Forum is scheduled to start at 7:10PM ET.

• Who: Troy vs. Kentucky
• Date: Friday, March 21, 2025
• Time: 7:10PM ET/4:10PM PT
• Venue: Fiserv Forum
• March Madness Stage: First Round

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Troy vs. Kentucky matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Troy vs. Kentucky picks, be sure to check out the latest March Madness predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key March Madness Guides and Insights

• Learn about NCAA Championship history and the lowest-seeded team to ever win March Madness
• Get answers to legal questions, including which states you can legally bet on college sports and the minimum age required to place a bet on March Madness
• A breakdown of March Madness futures bets and popular prop bets for the NCAA tournament
• Explore strategy with guides on identifying value bets during the tournament and betting on individual player awards like Tournament MVP
• Understand the tournament format, including how many games are played in March Madness and how venue locations impact teams when playing at neutral sites

Conclusion

We predict Kentucky, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Troy on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Troy vs. Kentucky insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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