Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Prediction: Washington Predicted to Win Wednesday's NHL Matchup [11/13/2024]

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Written by Nick Slade
Toronto Maple Leafs-Washington Capitals Predictions and Game Preview.
Capital One Arena sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Washington Capitals this Wednesday.

The Washington Capitals and Toronto mapleleafs are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Capital One Arena on Wednesday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Maple Leafs-Capitals game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Capitals' chance of winning at 51%, with the Maple Leafs at 48%."

For expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Capitals predictions page.

Maple Leafs vs. Caps Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's action between the Capitals and Maple Leafs at Capital One Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Wednesday's Maple Leafs vs. Capitals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toronto vs. Washington picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20HOCKEY at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL game between the Maple Leafs and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Capitals a 51% chance of beating the Maple Leafs.

According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over.

 

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Capitals
Puck Line +1.5 (-198) -1.5 (+170)
Moneyline +130 -145
Total o5.5 (-130) u5.5 (+112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Capitals matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Toronto's William Nylander is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Nylander an 8.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 42.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
William Nylander 8.6%
Mitch Marner 7.1%
Matthew Knies 6.5%

Washington Capitals

Player First Goal Probability
Connor McMichael 5.8%
Alex Ovechkin 5.3%
Dylan Strome 4.3%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
William Nylander 42.1%
Mitch Marner 35.0%
Matthew Knies 34.1%

Washington Capitals

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin 30.5%
Connor McMichael 29.2%
Tom Wilson 23.6%

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Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Keep up with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate predictions for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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