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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [4/17/2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
![Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [4/17/2024]](https://imgix.cosmicjs.com/654ec6e0-fc0d-11ee-911e-9f1d49670742-NHL_2023_191_TB_TOR.png?w=750)
The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Toronto Maple Leafs in the 2024 NHL Playoffs at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.
Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Maple Leafs vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
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Get Dimers Pro Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win
We have used powerful machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Wednesday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Maple Leafs and Lightning 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NHL predictions.
Our popular predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 54% chance of beating the Maple Leafs.
According to our model, the over/under total of 6.5 goals also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the National Hockey League's postseason elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Maple Leafs and Lightning, reached the NHL Playoffs 2024, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the NHL Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +105 | -120 |
| Total | o6.5 (-135) | u6.5 (+118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Picks
At Dimers, our predictions, combined with the latest odds, reveal the top betting picks for every game, including Maple Leafs vs. Lightning. Our NHL best bets are based on expert modeling and analysis, as you can see.
With an edge of 4.4%, a pick from the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning game is featured in today's best bets on Dimers Pro.
Dimers Pro subscribers get hundreds of data-driven bets daily across thousands of games. Join now to get instant access and see the pick we have for this game, plus any potential props.
EXCLUSIVE: Save $50 on an annual subscription for a limited time only by using code DIMERSANNUAL at the Dimers Pro checkout.
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Matthews a 10.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 47.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 10.3% |
| William Nylander | 6.6% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 6.2% |
| John Tavares | 5.4% |
| Mitchell Marner | 5.0% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 9.2% |
| Steven Stamkos | 6.9% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 5.3% |
| Nick Paul | 4.8% |
| Anthony Duclair | 4.7% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 47.2% |
| William Nylander | 33.7% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 31.7% |
| John Tavares | 28.6% |
| Mitchell Marner | 28.0% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 44.4% |
| Steven Stamkos | 37.1% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 29.0% |
| Anthony Duclair | 25.9% |
| Nick Paul | 25.5% |
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Game Information
Wednesday's game between the Lightning and Maple Leafs in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024
- Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Our full betting coverage of the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning includes pregame predictions, betting picks and live win probabilities.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay updated with the most recent NHL news and our analytics-driven NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the latest numbers and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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