Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Thursday's NHL Matchup [3/27/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Toronto Maple Leafs vs San Jose Sharks matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs-San Jose Sharks Predictions and Game Preview.
SAP Center at San Jose sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and San Jose Sharks this Thursday.

The San Jose Sharks will take on the favored Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at SAP Center at San Jose on Thursday, commencing at 10:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Toronto-San Jose game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Maple Leafs with a win probability of 66% and the Sharks with 34%."

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Sharks predictions page.

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Maple Leafs vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Sharks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 66% chance of beating the Sharks.

According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 51% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 2:15AM, Mar 28
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
Maple Leafs
Win %
66%
34%
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See Matchup
Sharks
Maple Leafs TOR
Win %
66%
34%
See Matchup
Sharks SJ
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Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Sharks
Puck Line -1.5 (+100) +1.5 (-120)
Moneyline -245 +210
Total o6 (-110) u6 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Sharks matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Sharks?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Sharks.

Our projections give Matthews an 8.5% chance of scoring the first goal at SAP Center at San Jose, while the Maple Leafs star is a 45.2% chance of registering an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 8.5%
William Nylander 6.9%
John Tavares 6.2%

San Jose Sharks

Player First Goal Probability
Macklin Celebrini 6.5%
Tyler Toffoli 6.4%
Will Smith 5.7%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 45.2%
William Nylander 35.7%
John Tavares 30.3%

San Jose Sharks

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Tyler Toffoli 35.1%
Macklin Celebrini 32.5%
Will Smith 29.9%

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's action between the Sharks and Maple Leafs at SAP Center at San Jose is scheduled to begin at 10:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Maple Leafs vs. Sharks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toronto vs. San Jose picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Sharks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Keep up with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most accurate predictions for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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