Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/10/2024]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/10/2024]

The Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview for Saturday's Maple Leafs vs. Senators matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and statistics to simulate the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Maple Leafs and Senators 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL predictions.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 54% chance of defeating the Senators.

According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Today's Toronto vs. Ottawa betting preview is proudly sponsored by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has an outstanding Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Senators
Puck Line -1.5 (+165) +1.5 (-194)
Moneyline -140 +120
Total o6.5 (-135) u6.5 (+116)
  • The Senators are currently +1.5 underdogs versus the Maple Leafs, with -194 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +165.
  • DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Senators at +120. That means you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.
  • BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -140, where you can risk $140 to win $100 for a total payout of $240 if they come out on top.
  • The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -135, while FanDuel currently has the best odds for the Under at +116.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Picks

Our predictions matched with the listed odds reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in our Dimers' NHL best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Senators +1.5 -194
Moneyline Senators +120
Total Under 6.5 +116

 

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, taking the Senators moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Senators?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Senators.

Our projections give Matthews a 12.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the Maple Leafs star is a 54.4% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 12.0%
William Nylander 8.2%
Mitchell Marner 6.8%
John Tavares 5.3%
Tyler Bertuzzi 3.2%

Ottawa Senators

Player First Goal Probability
Tim Stutzle 5.5%
Claude Giroux 5.1%
Brady Tkachuk 5.0%
Josh Norris 4.4%
Vladimir Tarasenko 4.4%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 54.4%
William Nylander 39.4%
Mitchell Marner 36.1%
John Tavares 27.7%
Tyler Bertuzzi 20.4%

Ottawa Senators

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Tim Stutzle 29.5%
Brady Tkachuk 28.6%
Claude Giroux 27.2%
Josh Norris 24.8%
Vladimir Tarasenko 23.7%

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Game Information

Saturday's action between the Senators and Maple Leafs at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

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Our full coverage of Maple Leafs vs. Senators includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Conclusion

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Senators insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. Remember to gamble responsibly—advice available at 1-800-GAMBLER. Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay well-informed with the most recent NHL betting news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date probabilities and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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