Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction: Close Contest Projected After New Data Released for Saturday's NHL Matchup [4/26/2025]

The Ottawa Senators and Toronto mapleleafs are scheduled to meet in the NHL Playoffs at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects an equal chance for both the Senators and Maple Leafs to win today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toronto-Ottawa game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"Based on the latest updates and extensive data, we predict a 50-50 chance for both the Senators and Maple Leafs, making it a highly competitive matchup."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Senators predictions page.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL Playoffs game between the Maple Leafs and Senators 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently can't split the two teams, giving both the Maple Leafs and Senators a 50% chance of winning the game.

According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Maple Leafs	Senators
Puck Line	+1.5 (-250)	-1.5 (+210)
Moneyline	+100	-114
Total	o5.5 (-115)	u5.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Maple Leafs vs. Senators Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Senators matchup is on the puck line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Senators?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Senators.

Our projections give Matthews an 8.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the Maple Leafs star is a 39.4% chance of registering an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	8.3%
William Nylander	6.1%
John Tavares	5.6%

Ottawa Senators

Player	First Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	5.6%
Drake Batherson	4.7%
Shane Pinto	4.7%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	39.4%
William Nylander	30.5%
John Tavares	30.2%

Ottawa Senators

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	28.5%
Tim Stutzle	25.6%
Drake Batherson	25.5%

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's matchup between the Senators and Maple Leafs in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators
• Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the NHL to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.

Sixteen teams, including the Maple Leafs and Senators, made the 2025 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Maple Leafs vs. Senators matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toronto vs. Ottawa picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict a close game between the Maple Leafs and Senators on Saturday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Senators insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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