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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. NY Islanders: Prediction, Odds, Picks for NHL Monday [12/11/2023]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. NY Islanders: Prediction, Odds, Picks for NHL Monday [12/11/2023]

The NY Islanders will square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at UBS Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' in-depth betting preview for Monday's Maple Leafs vs. Islanders matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Prediction: Who Will Win

Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Monday's Maple Leafs-Islanders NHL game 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions for today.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model gives the Maple Leafs a 52% chance of winning against the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal Over/Under has a 53% chance of going Under.

To make the most of today's Toronto vs. NY Islanders betting analysis, check out the best sportsbook promos currently available in your state.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Islanders
Puck Line -1.5 (+195) +1.5 (-230)
Moneyline -120 +106
Total o6 (-110) u6 (-110)
  • The Islanders are currently +1.5 underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with -230 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +195.
  • FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Islanders at +106. That means you can bet $100 to profit $106, earning a total payout of $206, if they win.
  • On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -120, where you can risk $120 to win $100, for a total payout of $220, if they come out on top.
  • The Over/Under sits at 6 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Islanders +1.5 -230
Moneyline Islanders +106
Total Under 6 -110

 

Our NHL best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Islanders moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Islanders? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Islanders this Monday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Monday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Islanders.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 10.4% chance of scoring the first goal at UBS Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 46.4% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 10.4%
William Nylander 7.5%
John Tavares 5.0%
Mitchell Marner 4.9%
Tyler Bertuzzi 4.6%

NY Islanders

Player First Goal Probability
Brock Nelson 6.7%
Bo Horvat 6.5%
Anders Lee 4.8%
Kyle Palmieri 4.2%
Mathew Barzal 3.7%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 46.4%
William Nylander 36.0%
Mitchell Marner 27.5%
John Tavares 26.2%
Tyler Bertuzzi 23.8%

NY Islanders

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat 32.6%
Brock Nelson 30.3%
Kyle Palmieri 23.1%
Anders Lee 23.0%
Mathew Barzal 20.7%
Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Maple Leafs vs. Islanders on Monday December 11, 2023.

 

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Game Information

Monday's action between the Islanders and Maple Leafs at UBS Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information on Maple Leafs vs. Islanders.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of Monday's Maple Leafs vs. Islanders contest, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live scores.

How to Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Islanders

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL now? Check out the top sports betting promos in your state.

Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on the Maple Leafs vs. Islanders game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Our picks and predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Maple Leafs vs. Islanders predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay up-to-date on the fresh NHL betting news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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