Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [12/14/2024]

The Detroit Red Wings and Toronto mapleleafs will lock horns in the NHL at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toronto-Detroit game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Maple Leafs are more likely to win, while the Red Wings have a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings predictions page.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20HOCKEY at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's action between the Red Wings and Maple Leafs at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings
• Date: Saturday, December 14, 2024
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toronto vs. Detroit picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Red Wings 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 59% chance of defeating the Red Wings.

According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Maple Leafs	Red Wings
Puck Line	-1.5 (+142)	+1.5 (-158)
Moneyline	-198	+165
Total	o6 (-102)	u6 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings.

Our projections give Matthews a 9.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 43.8% chance of registering an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	9.1%
William Nylander	7.3%
John Tavares	5.1%

Detroit Red Wings

Player	First Goal Probability
Dylan Larkin	7.5%
Lucas Raymond	7.0%
Alex DeBrincat	5.1%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	43.8%
William Nylander	36.9%
Mitch Marner	27.5%

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Dylan Larkin	35.8%
Lucas Raymond	35.0%
Alex DeBrincat	26.7%

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most accurate predictions for the Stanley Cup title.