Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [1/18/2024]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [1/18/2024]

The Calgary Flames will square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday, starting at 9:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for Thursday's Maple Leafs vs. Flames matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Maple Leafs vs. Flames Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used trusted machine learning and statistics to simulate the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Flames 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL predictions.

Our popular predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 53% chance of defeating the Flames.

According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of going under.

Today's Toronto vs. Calgary betting preview is proudly sponsored by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has an outstanding Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Maple Leafs vs. Flames Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Flames
Puck Line -1.5 (+170) +1.5 (-205)
Moneyline -135 +120
Total o6.5 (-110) u6.5 (-105)
  • The Flames are +1.5 underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with -205 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +170.
  • DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Flames at +120, which means you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.
  • BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -135, where you can risk $135 to win $100 for a total payout of $235 if they come out on top.
  • The Over/Under sits at 6.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check all the sports betting sites that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Maple Leafs vs. Flames Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Flames +1.5 -205
Moneyline Flames +120
Total Under 6.5 -105

 

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, betting on the Flames moneyline is the best option due to the 1.4% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.

Dimers' NHL best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Maple Leafs vs. Flames Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Flames?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Flames.

Our projections give Matthews a 10.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the Maple Leafs star is a 47.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 10.6%
Mitchell Marner 5.7%
William Nylander 5.6%
John Tavares 4.2%
Calle Jarnkrok 3.5%

Calgary Flames

Player First Goal Probability
Yegor Sharangovich 6.4%
Blake Coleman 5.8%
Nazem Kadri 5.2%
Elias Lindholm 4.9%
Mikael Backlund 4.4%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 47.8%
William Nylander 28.9%
Mitchell Marner 28.8%
John Tavares 23.4%
Calle Jarnkrok 19.8%

Calgary Flames

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Yegor Sharangovich 31.1%
Blake Coleman 30.8%
Nazem Kadri 26.8%
Elias Lindholm 26.4%
Mikael Backlund 21.2%
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of the Maple Leafs vs. Flames on Thursday January 18, 2024.

Maple Leafs vs. Flames Game Information

Thursday's matchup between the Flames and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to commence at 9:00PM ET.

 

Our full coverage of Maple Leafs vs. Flames includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Flames

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These fees help us keep Dimers free for everyone. So, if you like what you see, support us by joining one of our trusted sports betting partners below.

Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Thursday's Maple Leafs vs. Flames contest, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Our picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Maple Leafs vs. Flames picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NHL

Stay up-to-date with the most recent NHL betting news and our analytics-driven NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date predictions and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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