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Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Tuesday's NHL Matchup [4/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres matchup.
NHL action continues on Tuesday at 7:00PM ET as the Toronto Maple Leafs lock horns with the Buffalo Sabres in the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs at KeyBank Center.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Toronto-Buffalo game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Maple Leafs with a win probability of 54%, compared to 46% for the Sabres."
For a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Sabres predictions page.
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Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Maple Leafs and Sabres 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 54% chance of beating the Sabres.
According to our model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+165) | +1.5 (-198) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +125 |
| Total | o6 (-130) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Sabres matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Maple Leafs-Sabres Pick Get Dimers Pro Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Sabres?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Sabres.
Our projections give Matthews a 9.4% chance of scoring the first goal at KeyBank Center, while the Maple Leafs star is a 47.5% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 9.4% |
| William Nylander | 7.2% |
| John Tavares | 6.1% |
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 8.7% |
| Alex Tuch | 6.2% |
| JJ Peterka | 6.0% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 47.5% |
| William Nylander | 36.1% |
| John Tavares | 33.1% |
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 42.1% |
| Alex Tuch | 32.9% |
| JJ Peterka | 32.4% |
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Tuesday's game between the Sabres and Maple Leafs in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres
- Date: Tuesday, April 15, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: KeyBank Center
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Maple Leafs and Sabres, reached the 2025 NHL Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Maple Leafs vs. Sabres matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Toronto vs. Buffalo picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Sabres on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Sabres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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