Blue Jays vs. Astros Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Monday's MLB Matchup [4/21/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Monday's Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays-Houston Astros Predictions and Game Preview.
Daikin Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros this Monday.

MLB action continues on Monday at 8:10PM ET as the Toronto Blue Jays lock horns with the Houston Astros at Daikin Park.

Hunter Brown (2-1, 1.50 ERA) will get the ball for the Astros, up against Kevin Gausman (2-1, 2.49 ERA) for the Blue Jays.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Astros as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Toronto-Houston game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Astros are likely to win, with a probability of 58%, compared to the Blue Jays' 42%."

For a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Blue Jays vs. Astros predictions page.

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Blue Jays vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Astros 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Astros a 58% chance of defeating the Blue Jays.

According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 52% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:29AM, Apr 22
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Blue Jays
Win %
42%
58%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Astros
Blue Jays TOR
Win %
42%
58%
See Matchup
Astros HOU
Kevin Gausman 2-1, 2.49 ERA
Hunter Brown 2-1, 1.50 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds [4/21/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Blue Jays Astros
Run Line +1.5 (-185) -1.5 (+160)
Moneyline +120 -136
Total o7.5 (+100) u7.5 (-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Blue Jays vs. Astros Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Blue Jays vs. Astros matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Blue Jays vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's MLB action between the Astros and Blue Jays at Daikin Park is scheduled to start at 8:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Monday's Blue Jays vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toronto vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blue Jays vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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