Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction: Boston Predicted to Win Thursday's MLB Matchup [4/10/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays-Boston Red Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Fenway Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox this Thursday.

The Boston Red Sox will take on the Toronto Blue Jays in MLB action at Fenway Park on Thursday, starting at 4:10PM ET.

Walker Buehler (1-1, 8.68 ERA) will start for the Red Sox, pitting him against Chris Bassitt (1-0, 0.71 ERA) for the Blue Jays.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Toronto-Boston game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Red Sox with a win probability of 51% and the Blue Jays with 49%."

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Blue Jays vs. Red Sox predictions page.

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Blue Jays vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Red Sox a 51% chance of defeating the Blue Jays.

According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 59% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:27PM, Apr 10
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Blue Jays
Win %
49%
51%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Red Sox
Blue Jays TOR
Win %
49%
51%
See Matchup
Red Sox BOS
Chris Bassitt 1-0, 0.71 ERA
Walker Buehler 1-1, 8.68 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds [4/10/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Blue Jays Red Sox
Run Line +1.5 (-188) -1.5 (+165)
Moneyline +114 -130
Total o8 (-115) u8 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB action between the Red Sox and Blue Jays at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 4:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toronto vs. Boston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blue Jays vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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