Toluca vs. Santos Laguna Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [4/6/2025]

Toluca will face Santos Laguna in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Sunday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Toluca-Santos Laguna game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca an 83.9% chance of winning, Santos Laguna a 5.7% chance, and a 10.4% chance of a draw."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Santos Laguna predictions page.

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Toluca vs. Santos Laguna Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX game between Toluca and Santos Laguna 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates an 83.9% chance of Toluca winning, a 5.7% chance for Santos Laguna, and a 10.4% chance of a draw.

Toluca vs. Santos Laguna Odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market	Toluca	Santos Laguna	Draw
Moneyline	-800	+2000	+850

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Toluca vs. Santos Laguna Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Toluca vs. Santos Laguna matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Santos Laguna: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 3-0 Toluca win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOL 3-0 SLA	10.3%
TOL 5-0 SLA	10.1%
TOL 2-0 SLA	9.6%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.7% chance of the yes hitting, and a 48.3% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Toluca vs. Santos Laguna Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's matchup between Toluca and Santos Laguna at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Santos Laguna
• Date: Sunday, April 6, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Toluca vs. Santos Laguna matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Santos Laguna vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has an 83.9% win probability on Sunday, Santos Laguna has a 5.7% win probability, and there is a 10.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Santos Laguna insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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