Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [10/5/2024]

Liga MX action continues on Saturday at 9:00PM ET as Pumas UNAM locks horns with Toluca at Estadio Nemesio Díez.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toluca-Pumas UNAM game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca a 51.1% chance of winning, Pumas UNAM a 25.3% chance, and a 23.7% chance of a draw."

Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's action between Toluca and Pumas UNAM at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to commence at 9:00PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM
• Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024
• Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Toluca and Pumas UNAM 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 51.1% chance of Toluca winning, a 25.3% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 23.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.

Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Toluca	Pumas UNAM	Draw
-110	+270	+285

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-144	+115

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct Score Prediction

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOL 1-1 PUM	11.1%
TOL 1-0 PUM	9.7%
TOL 2-1 PUM	9.7%

These final scores are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 51.1% win probability on Saturday, Pumas UNAM has a 25.3% win probability, and there is a 23.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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