Toluca vs. Pachuca Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [3/29/2025]

Toluca and Pachuca will meet in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toluca-Pachuca game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca a 58.4% chance of winning, Pachuca a 20.9% chance, and a 20.6% chance of a draw."

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Pachuca predictions page.

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Toluca vs. Pachuca Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Toluca and Pachuca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 58.4% chance of Toluca winning, a 20.9% chance for Pachuca, and a 20.6% chance of a draw.

Toluca vs. Pachuca Odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market	Toluca	Pachuca	Draw
Moneyline	-120	+320	+300

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Toluca vs. Pachuca Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Toluca vs. Pachuca matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Pachuca: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Toluca win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOL 2-1 PCH	9.7%
TOL 1-1 PCH	9.2%
TOL 2-0 PCH	8.1%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 61.5% chance that both teams scoring, and a 38.5% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Toluca vs. Pachuca Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's game between Toluca and Pachuca at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Pachuca
• Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Pachuca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Pachuca vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 58.4% win probability on Saturday, Pachuca has a 20.9% win probability, and there is a 20.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Pachuca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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