Toluca vs. Necaxa Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [3/8/2025]

Toluca and Necaxa will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, starting at 6:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toluca-Necaxa game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca a 63.7% chance of winning, Necaxa a 17.6% chance, and an 18.7% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Necaxa predictions page.

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Toluca vs. Necaxa Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Toluca and Necaxa 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 63.7% chance of Toluca winning, a 17.6% chance for Necaxa, and an 18.7% chance of a draw.

Toluca vs. Necaxa Odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market	Toluca	Necaxa	Draw
Moneyline	-175	+450	+360

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Our model's biggest edge in today's Toluca vs. Necaxa matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Necaxa: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Toluca win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOL 2-1 NXA	9.5%
TOL 1-1 NXA	8.1%
TOL 2-0 NXA	8.1%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.5% chance of the yes hitting, and a 37.5% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Toluca vs. Necaxa Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's game between Toluca and Necaxa at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to begin at 6:00PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Necaxa
• Date: Saturday, March 8, 2025
• Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Necaxa matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Necaxa vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 63.7% win probability on Saturday, Necaxa has a 17.6% win probability, and there is an 18.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Necaxa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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