Toluca vs. Monterrey Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [1/18/2025]

Toluca will square off with Monterrey in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toluca-Monterrey game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca a 49.0% chance of winning, Monterrey a 27.7% chance, and a 23.2% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and an expanded look at the predicted final score, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Monterrey predictions page.

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Toluca vs. Monterrey Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's matchup between Toluca and Monterrey at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Monterrey
• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Monterrey matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Monterrey vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Monterrey Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Toluca and Monterrey 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 49.0% chance of Toluca winning, a 27.7% chance for Monterrey, and a 23.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.

Toluca vs. Monterrey Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Toluca	Monterrey	Draw
+110	+230	+260

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-156	+112

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Toluca vs. Monterrey Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Toluca vs. Monterrey matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Monterrey: Correct Score Prediction

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOL 1-1 MNT	10.7%
TOL 2-1 MNT	9.5%
TOL 1-0 MNT	8.3%

These final scores are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 49.0% win probability on Saturday, Monterrey has a 27.7% win probability, and there is a 23.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Monterrey insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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