Toluca vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [2/15/2025]

Toluca will square off with Guadalajara in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, beginning at 10:10PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toluca-Guadalajara game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca a 56.6% chance of winning, Guadalajara a 20.7% chance, and a 22.7% chance of a draw."

For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and an expanded look at the predicted final score, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Guadalajara predictions page.

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Toluca vs. Guadalajara Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Toluca and Guadalajara 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 56.6% chance of Toluca winning, a 20.7% chance for Guadalajara, and a 22.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.

Toluca vs. Guadalajara Odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Toluca	Guadalajara	Draw
-130	+370	+280

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-132	-102

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Toluca vs. Guadalajara Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Toluca vs. Guadalajara matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Guadalajara: Correct Score Predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOL 1-1 GUA	10.7%
TOL 1-0 GUA	10.5%
TOL 2-1 GUA	9.9%

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Toluca vs. Guadalajara Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's action between Toluca and Guadalajara at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to commence at 10:10PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Guadalajara
• Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Time: 10:10PM ET/7:10PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Guadalajara matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Guadalajara vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 56.6% win probability on Saturday, Guadalajara has a 20.7% win probability, and there is a 22.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Guadalajara insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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