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Read Article Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [4/19/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Toluca vs Cruz Azul matchup.
Toluca will take on Cruz Azul in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, beginning at 9:05PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toluca-Cruz Azul game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.
"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca a 45.6% chance of winning, Cruz Azul a 30.8% chance, and a 23.6% chance of a draw."
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Cruz Azul predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20SOCCER Get Dimers Pro Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Toluca and Cruz Azul 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 45.6% chance of Toluca winning, a 30.8% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 23.6% chance of a draw.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:08PM, Apr 19
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Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Toluca | Cruz Azul | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +100 | +270 | +270 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Toluca vs. Cruz Azul matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Toluca-Cruz Azul Pick Get Dimers Pro Toluca vs. Cruz Azul: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| TOL 1-1 CAZ | 10.8% |
| TOL 2-1 CAZ | 9.2% |
| TOL 1-0 CAZ | 7.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 61.0% chance of the yes hitting, and a 39.0% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's game between Toluca and Cruz Azul at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to begin at 9:05PM ET.
- Who: Toluca vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025
- Time: 9:05PM ET/6:05PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Cruz Azul matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Cruz Azul vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Toluca has a 45.6% win probability on Saturday, Cruz Azul has a 30.8% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Cruz Azul insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Liga MX
Stay up-to-date with the latest Liga MX betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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