Toluca vs. Atlas Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [9/28/2024]

Toluca will square off with Atlas in Liga MX action at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toluca-Atlas game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca a 66.8% chance of winning, Atlas a 14.0% chance, and a 19.2% chance of a draw."

Toluca vs. Atlas Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's matchup between Toluca and Atlas at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Atlas
• Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Atlas matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toluca vs. Atlas picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Toluca vs. Atlas Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX game between Toluca and Atlas 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 66.8% chance of Toluca winning, a 14.0% chance for Atlas, and a 19.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.

Toluca vs. Atlas Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Toluca	Atlas	Draw
-185	+500	+310

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-140	+110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Toluca vs. Atlas Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Toluca vs. Atlas matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Atlas: Correct Score Prediction

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Toluca win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOL 2-0 ATS	11.2%
TOL 1-0 ATS	10.3%
TOL 2-1 ATS	9.8%

These scorelines are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 66.8% win probability on Saturday, Atlas has a 14.0% win probability, and there is a 19.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Atlas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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