TNF Same Game Parlay Picks: Texans vs. Jets SGP for Thursday Night Football

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Reviewed by Nick Slade
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With the help of our in-house NFL predictive model, we've built a +750 same game parlay for Thursday Night Football between the Houston Texans and New York Jets.

TNF Same Game Parlay Picks: Texans vs. Jets SGP for Thursday Night Football

Time to get spooky with a Halloween SGP on Thursday Night Football.

Week 9 in the NFL kicks off with the Houston Texans vs. New York Jets on TNF and we've got our +750 NFL Parlay picks ready to go.

The Texans are banged up, missing their top two receiving options and enter this game as 2.5-point underdogs. Meanwhile, the Jets are reeling from a final-minute loss to the Patriots on Sunday and desperately need a win.

NFL, Texans, Thursday Night Football, Parlay C.J. Stroud.
C.J. Stroud heads into Thursday Night Football vs. the Jets with a depleted WR corps.

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+750 Houston Texans vs. New York Jets NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our Same Game Parlay in Texans vs. Jets on Primetime, Thursday Night Football.

PLAYER
PROP
PROBABILITY/
PROJECTION
ODDS
Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)Over 18.5 Rec Yards29 Rec Yards-120
Garrett Wilson (Jets)Over 61.5 Rec Yards67 Rec Yards-110
Tank Dell (Texans)Anytime TD Scorer36.5%+175


MORE: Houston Texans vs. New York Jets Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Xavier Hutchinson Over 18.5 Rec Yds (-120)

Let's get started with our first leg as we look for Texans WR Xavier Hutchinson to clear his modest line of 18.5 receiving yards. Hutch has seen a minimal role so far this season, operating behind Stefon Diggs, Nico Collins and Tank. Dell, but Diggs and Collins are both out now. Since Collins went down, Hutchinson cleared this twice, both times with a single long gain of 19 yards. After seeing 3 total targets in the first four weeks of the season, he's seen 7 in the past four and leads all other backup Texans WRs in snaps.

The Texans have to throw to somebody besides just Tank Dell and while Dalton Schultz should see an uptick in usage, the combination of a low line for Hutchinson and our projection of 10 full yards over makes him our pick for Leg #1.

Leg 2: Garrett Wilson Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

The Jets wideout was a half-yard short in Week 7 of riding a four-game over streak into this TNF contest and has seen 8+ targets in all but one game this season. Davante Adams has yet to get going in this offense and while he's had 15 targets of his own since joining the Jets, Wilson has been the beneficiary of Adams' presence.

Even with a strong passing defense, the Texans have allowed a WR to hit this in all but two games this season, including a pair of 100+ yard games.

We're projecting Wilson for 67 receiving yards tonight.

Leg 3: Tank Dell Anytime TD Scorer (+175)

We close out with our TD prop as always, and we're revisiting that depleted Texans passing game for a play at some fair odds.

Tank Dell broke out as a big-play target for C.J. Stroud last season with 7 TDs and has scored both his touchdowns this season in the past three weeks. Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs have stolen some of his thunder this season, but he's now the de-factor WR 1 in this offense.

His 36.5% anytime TD probability is right in line with his odds of +175 and getting plus money on a team's #1 wideout is always a good thing, even against a stingy passing defense like the Jets, who may look to stifle the run game and force the Texans to challenge them through the air more often.

 

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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