TNF Betting Strategy for Broncos vs. Chiefs

Broncos vs. Chiefs 8:15PM ET

BET 1: $5 on Chiefs moneyline to win $150 (via Bet365)

Bet365 may only be available in limited states at the moment (although, keep an eye out because the world-renowned sportsbook have plans to expand outside of their current OH, CO, IA, KY, VA and NJ bases soon), but they’re offering some of the strongest signup offers and boosts on game lines and prop bets out there right now.

New users can claim $150 in Bonus Bets when they sign up and place a $5 bet on anything.

That's right, anything. 

And even better - your bet doesn't even have to win for you to receive the $150 in site credits.

But we still like finding winners here at Dimers, so that's exactly what we're going to do. For Thursday night we're taking the Kansas City Chiefs to steamroll the Broncos.

Now, we know that historically the Chiefs struggle to cover the spread, but they are a good thing when it comes to winning straight up with a 4-1 record this season. And when it comes to beating up on the Broncos, nobody does it better than the reigning Super Bowl champs who are 10-0 in the last 10 meetings between the two. The DimersBOT gives Kansas City a 83% chance of victory, making this bet a slam dunk if you are wanting to claim $150 in bonuses.

And you know the best thing about this bet with bet365? Even if it loses, we'll still claim $150 in bonus bets to use for the rest of the weekend.

You can sign up to bet365 and claim this amazing offer below.

BET 2: $50 on Isiah Pacheco First Touchdown Scorer to Win $245 (via PointsBet)

There's no need to sweat on Thursday night if you're betting with PointsBet.

PointsBet are offering new bettors up to $1000 in Sweat Free Bets when they sign up over 10 days.

That's right - if this bet loses, you'll get that stake back in bonus bets to use again; and you can claim this promo for 10 days straight.

MORE: Free Parlay Picks

To make the most of this, we're going after the Denver Broncos' glaring weakness: stopping the run game.

The Broncos are allowing an insane 165.7 yards to running backs so far this season, and with windy conditions predicted in Kansas City, expect the Chiefs to hit the legs often on Thursday night.

That corresponds with our model's top first touchdown pick in Kansas City RB Isiah Pacheco to get into the end zone first, with a 10.5% probability according to our touchdown predictor.

A $50 bet on Watson to score first would return us $245. But even if it doesn't win, we'll get our stake back to use again.

BET 3: $5 on Under 46.5 points to win $200 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

If you haven't signed up with DraftKings Sportsbook yet, you should change that.

The sportsbook have a great new user offer at the moment, allowing bettors to turn a $5 bet into $200 in Bonus Bets, plus a No Sweat Bet token that you can use on a Same Game Parlay every single day for the rest of the NFL season.

For this play, we're going to wrap it up by taking the Under - a pick our model likes with a 55% probability.

With windy conditions expected, not to mention Denver's poor offense, as well as the general malaise we see from teams on Thursday night primetime games after a short break, and we're not expecting to see too many points coming from the two at Arrowhead.

Regardless of whether the under hits or not, DraftKings Sportsbook will credit your account with $200 in bonuses once you make your first $5 bet, plus you'll get an additional No Sweat Bet tokens to use for the rest of the season.

MORE: Best Sports Bets Today

You can sign up to DraftKings Sportsbook below.