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Titans vs. Chiefs Computer Picks, NFL Odds and Prediction for Sunday Night Football on November 6, 2022
The Kansas City Chiefs are the team to beat in the AFC West this season, but they haven't looked all that dominant and the Tennessee Titans have to feel like they can pull off an upset at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City at 8:20PM ET on Sunday, November 6. This has all the makings of an exciting Sunday Night Football game to bet on, which would be a great thing for football fans that have sat through some lousy primetime performances.
Find out how we think this one will play out in our Titans vs. Chiefs betting preview.
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Touchdowns: Week 9 First TD and Value Bets
Titans vs. Chiefs Computer Picks
Predictive Analytics Data
- 51% shot the Titans cover the +12.5 spread
- 87% chance the Chiefs win on the moneyline
- 52% probability on Titans vs. Chiefs going Under 46
For the best NFL computer picks, check out our Titans vs. Chiefs data predictions. They are constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
Titans vs. Chiefs Odds and Betting Lines
Why The Titans Will Cover The Spread
Considering where the Titans are sitting statistically, it’d be no surprise if this spread climbs. But to their credit, they grind and ripped off five wins in a row after losing a pair of sloppy efforts out of the gate.
It’s no breaking news Derrick Henry stirs the drink for head coach Mike Vrabel. Henry has 166 carries and 755 yards through seven games — quarterbacks Ryan Tannehill and rookie Malik Willis have a combined 160 pass attempts — and it’s vital for the Titans to hang close early and not be forced to abandon the ground attack.
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Why Chiefs Will Cover The Spread
Tennessee, ranked 25th in pass defense, will be hard-pressed to keep up with Patrick Mahomes and a unit averaging more than 400 yards and 31.8 points per game. Mahomes might be missing Tyreek Hill on some level, but Kansas City keeps on ticking with better balance.
Six different Chiefs have multiple touchdown receptions, led by Travis Kelce’s seven. If nothing else, head coach Andy Reid’s offense has become less predictable.
Why The Over Will Hit
Anytime there’s a game with Mahomes involved, there stands a good chance the total will be eclipsed. The Chiefs put up at least 40 points in three games so far, and 30 in another, and you never know which player is going to inflict the most damage. For example: Mecole Hardman with three touchdowns, including two rushing, at San Francisco in Week 7.
While Tennessee isn’t built to get involved in a track meet, it may not have much of a choice if the Chiefs come out firing as they often do.
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Why The Under Will Hit
Oh Henry! Aside from the Titans defense bending but not fully breaking, it’ll solely be up to Henry and the offensive line to keep this game close and manageable for the visitors.
Tennessee winning the time of possession battle and not turning the ball over, which has been the case in most of its victories, will be crucial to keeping the total from blowing up.
Titans vs. Chiefs Prediction
Lean: Chiefs -12.5
It’s difficult enough for a visiting team at Arrowhead. Toss in the fact the Chiefs are coming off a bye and there’s no reason to believe the margin won’t be double digits unless Henry runs wild.
Tony Bellissimo, with over 25 years of sports reporting and editing experience, has earned multiple New York State Press Association awards and oversees sports coverage for 30 high schools and several colleges on Long Island.
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