Three Must-Bet Plays of the Weekend (And How to Boost Them)

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Three Must-Bet Plays of the Weekend (And How to Boost Them)

We're in the best part of the year on the sports calendar, whether you're an active sports bettor or just a casual fan. We have football on effectively every single night between NFL and college, MLB playoffs, NHL in a young season and NBA just around the corner.

Here at Dimers, we have your back every day as we compare our best bets against the odds on the sportsbooks to find value in every game for every league. One of the ways we can do that is by finding early value, sometimes days ahead of time, so that you can get the best price. Additionally, we can direct you to the best book to place the bet on, as well as how you can boost your winnings with daily or weekly sportsbook promo offers.

MORE: NFL Week 7 Picks

Speaking of promos, you should know that it definitely pays to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports.

For example, did you know that new users at DraftKings Sportsbook can get $200 in bonus bets after betting just $5? That's not all. New users can also claim a Sweat Free Parlay every single day during the NFL season. That's easily one of the best promos to take advantage of when betting on football this season. 

 

Three Bets You Need to Make This Weekend

1. Penn State vs. Ohio State - Saturday, October 21, 12:00 PM EDT

BET: Over 46.5, playable up to -125

PROMO: 50% Penn St. vs. Ohio St. boost on FanDuel Sportsbook

This line has moved since DimersBOT's original edge, but it's still a play in our favor. Ohio State is averaging 36 points per game, while the Nittany Lions are averaging 44. They both have stout defenses,  however, hence the low total. Our model projects a 55% probability of going over, but the original line of -105 implies just 51.2%, and the line has bumped down a full point to 45.5 as of this writing, so as long as you can get it -125 or better, this is good value.

This boost takes the original -105 odds out to +143, raising the edge from 3.8% to nearly 14%.

2. Tennessee vs. Alabama - Saturday, October 21, 3:30 PM EDT

BET: Tennessee +9, playable up to -110

PROMO: 50% Alabama vs. Tennessee boost on FanDuel Sportsbook

Alabama is not the Crimson Tide of old, with Nick Saban and his crew often struggling to separate themselves from even middling teams this season. Tennessee's ground game will be pivotal in this matchup, as their success is largely tied to their ability to pile up yards via the rushing attack. If they succeed in that facet, they'll likely keep this one close and our model agrees, giving the Volunteers a 52% chance of covering the nine points with a projected score of 28-21. 

This boost takes the odds out to +137, turning fair odds into a 10.1% edge.

MORE: Super Bowl Odds

3. Philadelphia Phillies

BET: Win the World Series, playable to +120

PROMO: 25% MLB boost on DraftKings Sportsbook

A futures bet? That's right, and one that will assuredly see its price move between now and Game 3 and beyond. We previously pointed out the Phillies World Series price of being way too good when it was +1300 at the start of the postseason. Now, they're the betting favorite. Our model's 44.4% probability is just about in line with their base odds of +120. With DraftKings' daily 25% MLB profit boosts, you can turn this into +150, getting yourself a 4.4% edge, and likely the last time the Phillies will be plus-money barring a Game 3 loss to the Diamondbacks, in which case, they'd be an even better play.

Dimers' favorite Sports Betting Sites.

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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