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Three MLB Trends You Need to Bet on Wednesday, August 23
We were one Mookie Betts RBI shy last night of cashing back-to-back trends parlays to start the week. We're ready to roll with the MLB player prop trends that you should be betting on for Wednesday, August 23, 2023. Today's edition of notable MLB trends features guys from baseball teams such as the Blue Jays, Red Sox and Mets. A parlay of all of our top three trends combined would return odds of +376!
Using the information helps sports bettors place smarter bets on Major League Baseball today. To get these insights, we run over 10,000 simulations of every game to determine where the betting value lies and where the sportsbooks' odds are wrong - allowing you to bet with an edge. It's part AI and part machine learning, all designed to help the sports bettor profit from their MLB betting.
Our brand-new MLB Trends page is now live on Dimers.com as well, so you can scope out what our model is identifying all day, every day.
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Top MLB Betting Trends for Tuesday, August 23
1. Brandon Belt (TOR) To Record a Hit
Frequency: 11 of last 13 games
Odds: -150
Leave it to Brandon Belt to be one of the Blue Jays' hottest hitters heading into the stretch run, but here we are. Belt has picked up 18 hits this month with five multi-hit games to rack up a .321 average in August and raise his season-long mark by .15 points. He's up against Dean Kremer for the Orioles who he's seen just three times in his career, picking up a double with his lone hit. Kremer has a 1.31 WHIP and has allowed 5+ hits in 18 starts this year and allows a .281 average to opposing left-handed batters like Belt.
2. Triston Casas (BOS) To Record a Hit
Frequency: 9 of last 12 games
Odds: -160
Our second trend heads to one of the later games in an AL clash between the Astros and Red Sox. We look to electric Red Sox rookie Triston Casas to pick up a knock in this contest, something he's done in 9 of his last 12 games, with the three hitless games coming in the past week. He's having a slightly down month after hitting .286 in June and .348 in July, but still owns a .251 average this season. He's slightly better than his average against right-handed pitchers and he'll face one tonight in the Astros' Jose Urquidy who's allowing an average of over four hits per game. This is more of a play on value than hit rate, but Casas is in a solid spot.
3. Daniel Vogelbach (NYM) To Record a Hit
Frequency: 8 of last 10 games
Odds: -140
The final trend we're featuring today is for Mets DH Daniel Vogelbach, and while he's not the conventional type of player we target, our model has identified a mispriced prop when it comes to his recent form. He's picked up a hit in 8 of his last 10 games, and he's found a bit of a power stroke as well, going deep four times this month and three in the past week. The big man is on a little five-game hit streak rolling into his matchup with the Braves' Charlie Morton, whom he's faced 24 times in his career and picked up five hits with a pair of home runs and five walks.
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