Three MLB Trends You Need to Bet on Wednesday, August 2

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Three MLB Trends You Need to Bet on Wednesday, August 2

We're ready to roll with the MLB player prop trends that you should be betting on for Wednesday, August 2, 2023. Today's edition of notable MLB trends features guys from baseball teams such as the Red Sox, Giants and Rays. A parlay of all of our top three trends combined would return odds of +728!

Using the information helps sports bettors place smarter bets on Major League Baseball today. To get these insights, we run over 10,000 simulations of every game to determine where the betting value lies and where the sportsbooks' odds are wrong - allowing you to bet with an edge. It's part AI and part machine learning, all designed to help the sports bettor profit from their MLB betting.

Our brand-new MLB Trends page is now live on Dimers.com as well, so you can scope out what our model is identifying all day, every day.

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Top MLB Betting Trends for Tuesday, August 1

1. T. Casas (BOS) To Record a Hit

Frequency: 9 of last 10 games
Odds: -160

Triston Casas has been one of the more impressive hitters in baseball since the All-Star Break. If you go back far enough, he's picked up a hit in 16 of his last 18 games. He's raised his average from .220 to .258 over that timeframe, and he's doing so with style, tallying seven home runs over that period. If you want to kick this parlay up a notch, mix in a Casas RBI for some plus-money, but we're anchoring our trends parlay wtih him to get a hit. When you give us -160 on a trend that's hitting at 90% for a player who's showing no signs of letting up, we're all over it.

 

2. Wilmer Flores (SF) To Record a Hit

Frequency: 12 of last 14 games
Odds: -230

Wilmer Flores has been a rake over the month of July, juicing his batting average up a staggering 50 points to .298. He's mashed five home runs over this 14-game span. Tonight he gets a matchup with Diamondbacks' true rookie, Slade Cecconi. He's making his first big-league start and allowed a .273 batting average through his 20 starts this year in the minors. Flores should have no problem getting a knock against this young prospect making his debut.

 

MORE: Wednesday's Home Run Cheat Sheet

3. Yandy Diaz (TB) To Record an RBI

Frequency: 6 of last 10 games
Odds: +260

For our final leg, we're going with Yandy Diaz of the Rays to drive one home against Gerrit Cole and the Yankees. Diaz has been a hitting machine at the top of the order, with the sixth-highest batting average in all of MLB at .317. We'd love to take his hit prop here but it's juiced way up to -270 in some places so we're not touching it. He typically sees 4-5 ABs a game so he's got plenty of chances. You could take his over 1.5 bases if that's your fancy (has done so in 12 of last 17 games) but our data suggests the best value is in his RBI prop so we're locking that in.

 

Remember to gamble responsibly and set limits on your betting activities. It's important to approach sports betting as a form of entertainment, rather than relying on it for financial gain. Set a budget for yourself and stick to it, and never bet more than you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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