Super Bowl 58 Odds: Who Will Make Super Bowl LVIII in Vegas 2024?

Which two teams will compete for the Lombardi Trophy when Super Bowl LVIII kicks off at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas on Sunday, February 11, 2024? We've identified the top ten most likely matchups and best odds for each. Presently, a Ravens-49ers matchup is the most likely for Super Bowl 58, with a 15.7% chance of occurring. Read on as we list the Top 10 most likely Super Bowl 2024 matchups as of the start of the playoffs.

Out of 32 NFL teams, 14 made the postseason, with 12 of them in action on Wild Card Weekend. That number was then whittled down to eight ahead of Divisional Round so the time to find value in futures is running out! After doing our deep dive, we’ve consulted our predictive analytics model to identify the most likely Super Bowl 58 matchups and are comparing them to the odds on the books.

These aren’t necessarily recommended bets as some of them don’t offer worthy odds, but a purely data-based look at who’s most likely to compete for the Lombardi Trophy come February.

RELATED: Who Will Win the Super Bowl?

If one of these Big Game matchups catches your eye, you can get yourself a whopping $158 in bonus bets by betting just $5 on your favorite pairing over at BetMGM Sportsbook (odds may vary). Win or lose, you’ll leave with some bonus cash. Learn more on this exclusive promotion as reported on by Dimers.

Which Teams Will Make Super Bowl 58?

Matchup	Probability	Odds
1. Ravens vs. 49ers	15.7%	+310 @ DraftKings
2. Bills vs. 49ers	-	-
3. Chiefs vs. 49ers	7.4%	+1000 @ DraftKings
4. Ravens vs. Cowboys	-	-
5. Ravens vs. Eagles	-	-
6. Bills vs. Cowboys	-	-
7. Dolphins vs. 49ers	-	-
8. Chiefs vs. Cowboys	-	-
9. Bills vs. Eagles	-	-
10. Ravens vs. Lions	3.5%	+3000 @ DraftKings

Potential Super Bowl LVIII 2024 Matchups

Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers

Odds: +310 on DraftKings

The most likely championship matchup should come as no surprise as the No.1 overall seeds are both the best-looking teams, as well as in the best positions with homefield advantage and one less game to play guaranteed.

DimersBOT projects a 15.7% probability of this matchup occurring, which comes in substantially lower than the best odds available at DraftKings.

Buffalo Bills vs. San Francisco 49ers

Odds: +600 on BetMGM

Divisional Round Update: Bills Eliminated

You’ll see that the 49ers are our model’s most likely champion as they appear in the three highest probability matchups. Their elite defense and playmakers at virtually every position on offense make them a contender through and through.

This matchup has a 10.8% probability of happening which isn’t quite as far off the mark as the implied odds of +600 suggest.

Betting $5 on this matchup over at BetMGM returns $35 as well as scores you $158 in bonus bets.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers

Odds: +1000 on DraftKings

A Super Bowl rematch from a few seasons ago, the Chiefs get the third-best chance to meet San Francisco in the title game. They’ll need to right the ship a bit, particularly in the passing game if they want to make it this far and contend with the Niners.

This is the closest to fair odds yet, as our model projects a 7.4% probability of this happening, while the odds imply a 9.1% chance, a less than 2% discrepancy.

RELATED: Wild Card Weekend Betting Preview - Picks, Predictions and Playoff Bracket

Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys

Odds: +900 on FanDuel

Wild Card Update: Cowboys Eliminated

The Cowboys get a strong enough chance to reach the Super Bowl that they edge out the next-best AFC teams to face the 49ers. Unless the Niners lose in the Divisional Round, the Cowboys will have to beat that familiar foe they’ve struggled against to reach the Super Bowl.

At a 7.3% probability, this one is a bit more on the overpriced side, as the odds suggest a 10% chance, meaning the fair price would be closer to +1250.

Baltimore Ravens vs. vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Odds: +1800 on DraftKings

Wild Card Update: Eagles Eliminated

The Battle of the Birds is our fifth-most likely matchup and one that we previously identified as a value play earlier this season. Baltimore has the easier path of these two, but it starts this weekend for the Eagles.

At a 5.4% probability this is the fairest price so far as the odds imply a near-identical 5.4% probability, meaning this is a good one to consider for BetMGM’s “Bet $5, Get $158” offer., which you can claim here.

Buffalo Bills vs. Dallas Cowboys

Odds: +1600 on BetMGM

Wild Card Update: Cowboys Eliminated

If this ends up being the Super Bowl matchup, the Cowboys better hope it resembles the title game clashes of old for the Bills and not a repeat of the dismantling they gave the Cowboys just a few weeks ago.

This one clocks in at a 5.1% probability of occurring but comes in with worse odds than the other matchups around it with similar likelihoods.

Miami Dolphins vs. San Francisco 49ers

Odds: +1700 on DraftKings

Wild Card Update: Dolphins Eliminated

Mike McDaniel would relish the chance to face his former boss for the Super Bowl title, but the Dolphins haven’t been at full strength for a few weeks and it’s been hurting them down the stretch. San Francisco’s overwhelming 25.3% probability to win it all looms large as this could be a one-sided matchup.

It’s close to a fair price though if you’re looking to bet it, as we’ve identified a 4.8% probability of the matchup happening while the +1700 odds imply a 5.6% chance.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys

Odds: +2500 on BetMGM

Wild Card Update: Cowboys Eliminated

You’ve probably deduced by now that the Cowboys are in fact the second most-likely team out of the NFC to reach the Super Bowl according to our model. This would certainly be a good matchup on paper as we see a top offensive unit up against a stout defensive side in which anything is possible.

This one actually has the slightest bit of value, however nominal, as we project a 4.1% probability of happening while the odds imply 3.8%.

Consider this Big Game showdown as one to use for BetMGM’s Bet $5, Get $158 bonus bets offer.

Buffalo Bills vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Odds: +3100 on FanDuel

Wild Card Update: Eagles Eliminated

The regular season meeting between these two teams was one of the best games of the year, culminating in a 60-yard, rain-soaked walk-off field goal for the Eagles. The two teams have gone in completely opposite directions since then, with Philadelphia dropping five of six and Buffalo winning five straight to close out the year.

At a 3.6% probability, you could certainly do worse, as the +3000 odds imply a 3.2% chance, nearly in line with our model’s projections.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Detroit Lions

Odds: +3000 on DraftKings

Is this a matchup the Lions want to avoid, or one they’re hungry to avenge? The Ravens absolutely thrashed the Lions in their Week 7 meeting with the Lions, winning 38-7. We’ve seen the best and worst of Detroit since then, while Baltimore has only shown their best.

This one is by far the most overpriced of the longshots, as the odds imply a full 5% probability whereas our model projects just a 3.5% chance. The Lions are the reason there, as they appear only one more time in the next ten highest probabilities.

Betting these matchups can add an extra layer of excitement to your Sunday (and Saturday) wagers as there’s so much more at stake in every play than your usual NFL slate. No matter how you get it on the action, be sure to use Dimers’ world-class best NFL bets, top NFL player props and game-by-game NFL predictions.

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