The 151st Open: Best Top-20 Bets, Predictions and Round Robin Parlay

Our coverage of the151st edition of The Open! We’ll be dropping our usual five-leg Head-to-Head matchups parlay with analysis backed by our predictive model, as well as our best bets for the tournament, including our model's best outright winners and placement bets.

Be sure to check out all of our Golf tools before the action tees off. We’ve got our in-house rankings, full tournament predictions and our Head-to-Head tool which allows you to check out individual matchups with insights for each.

MORE: Sports Betting Explained: What is an "Edge" in Sports Betting?

Betting on golf is a great way to take advantage of new promotions from the sportsbooks, especially at BetMGM where new users can bet on any of these picks and get their first bet back up to $1,000 if it loses.

Heading to Royal Liverpool Golf Club in Britain, we'll see the best golfers in the world go toe-to-toe, featuring golfers from both LIV and PGA. Cameron Smith is the reigning champ and is looking to become the first back-to-back winner since 2008. There's sure to be plenty of excitement and drama around this event, which will make betting on it that much more fun!

Let’s take a deeper look at our model’s predictions and head down the board to find some hidden value. We’re going to look at the Top 20 market and see if we can’t jump on some mispriced odds. It's important to remember that even though we don't need these golfers to win, we do need them to stay in relative contention into Day 3, so we'll largely be avoiding players who have been struggling to make the cut, even if they hold some value.

MORE: Outright Winner Picks for the Open Championship

DimersBOT's Top-20 Bets with an Edge

GOLFER	ODDS	PROBABILITY	EDGE	TOP-20 (last 12 events)
Patrick Cantlay	+105	56.8%	8%	9 of 12 (1 MC)
Collin Morikawa	+150	46.9%	6.9%	4 of 12 (4 MCs)
Wyndham Clark	+200	45.1%	11.8%	6 of 12 (1 MC)
Denny McCarthy	+360	40.0%	18.3%	8 of 12 (2 MCs)
Russell Henley	+310	33.8%	9.4%	7 of 12 (3 MCs)
Joaquin Niemann	+410	33.6%	14%	5 of 12 (1 MC)
Keegan Bradley	+400	33.5%	13.5%	3 of 12 (3 MCs)
Adam Schenk	+700	24.2%	11.7%	5 of 12 (6 MCs)
Andrew Putnam	+750	20.1%	8.4%	1 of 12 (2 MCs)
J.T. Poston	+600	19.9%	5.7%	2 of 12 (6 MCs)
Harris English	+700	17.9%	5.4%	5 of 12 (3 MCs)
Abraham Ancer	+900	17.8%	7.8%	4 of 12 (1 MC)
Brendon Todd	+950	16.0%	6.5%	2 of 12 (2 MCs)

Best Top-20 Bets to Make at the U.S. Open

Patrick Cantlay (+105)

Patrick Cantlay has the shortest odds of everyone on this list and for good reason. He's been in solid form, and though he's coming off his second missed cut of the year, he still shot a -1 so it wasn't for lack of trying. He's finished at least Top 10 in 4 of his last 8 tournaments.

DimersBOT gives Cantlay a hefty 56.8% shot at securing a Top-20 finish, yet his odds imply a less than 50% chance, giving us a little 8% value here. If you look at our full Top 20 probabilities, you’ll see that the rest of the golfers with a similar probability have minus odds, further illustrating the value at this mark.

RELATED: Our In-House PGA Tour Rankings

Wyndham Clark (+200)

Easily the golfer in the best form on this list (though Cantlay could make that claim from a consistency perspective), Clark has more wins this year than missed cuts, including a victory at golf's most recent major, The. U.S. Open. He missed this mark in his last two events but should bounce back. He's almost always either within the Top 10 or outside the Top 20.

Our model is giving Clark a 45.1% chance of a Top-20 finish, but he’s priced out to +200, giving us an edge of over 11%. This is some of the best value on the entire board and Clark has all the tools to make it happen.

Denny McCarthy (+360)

Our man came just shy of bringing home victory at the Memorial Tournament just last month, losing in a playoff to Viktor Hovland. But no worries, because we're not looking for dub, just a top-20 finish, something he's managed in four-straight events, including a T20 at the U.S. Open. In fact, he's only missed this mark in six of his last eight.

Our model gives McCarthy an even 40% chance to finish in the Top 20, good enough for the biggest edge on the board at 18.3%. Our fair price would be in minus odds territory, giving us significant value here. You’ll see drastically shorter odds for the golfers who hover around Denny in our predictions.

Russell Henley (+310)

Say it with us, "form, form form." Until last week's T35, Henley hit this mark in four straight, including six of his last eight *and* two of the three majors this year, highlighted by a T4 at The Masters. Henley has proven that he can compete on the biggest stage against the biggest names.

DimersBOT gives Russ a 33.8% chance to finish Top 20 along with a 9.4% edge in the odds. He's missed just one cut since February so we're confident he'll be able to take his game into Moving Day and hopefully rise the ranks along with it.

Adam Schenk (+700)

We're slightly bucking our rule up top where we said we'd avoid golfers with a bunch of missed cuts, but hear us out. Starting with his most recent, Adam Schenk's last six events have gone: T4th, 7th, MC, MC, T7th, 2nd (lost in playoff). Though he did miss the cut at both majors he played in this year, that Top-10 upside is invaluable in a large tournament like this.

Schenk gets a 24.2% chance from our model to bring home a Top-20 placement, giving us an 11.7% edge in the odds. Plus, at such a good value of +700, if he and one other golfer finish Top 20, we'll net a 50% profit on that alone.

If you want to swap him out for someone a little less volatile, we'd recommend Harris English, but Schenk has proven to have more upside in the last few months, and English has two finishes outside the Top 50 in his last three events, which for this parlay's sake, is just as bad as a missed cut.

MORE: Best Outright Winner Bets at The Open

U.S. Open Top 20 Round Robin Parlay

If you’re looking to really spice up the action with these Top 20 bets, we suggest you try a Round Robin parlay. In case you’re not familiar, you can read all about Round Robin wagering in our convenient strategy guide here.

A Top-20 Round Robin comes with some particular risk, as each golfer who finishes in the Top 20 makes it more difficult for the next, and so on. If you want to swap out a couple of these golfers with ones more likely to secure a Top-20 finish, go for it, however, you will find much less value in the better golfers.

What’s really great about the Round Robin is that if you place just the 2x10s (which would be each of the ten combinations of two legs), you will net a small profit if any combo except the two shortest odds hit. If you can score three, you’re walking away with a nice pad to your bankroll. We wouldn't recommend investing too much beyond the 2s and 3s, as accurately nailing 4 out of the top 20 finishers is extremely difficult, but it is worth a small sprinkle of a couple bucks.

For example, let’s say you place $5 on the Round Robin 2x10s for a total of $50 (10 parlays at $5 each). The $5 bet on Clark/Henley at +1130 on FanDuel, would return $56.50 just by itself.

You won’t be able to parlay these on every book as they have different rules when it comes to combining bets from a singular golf event, but you can absolutely do so on FanDuel. We encourage you to check which of your books will let you do so and place the bet at the one where you’ll get the best odds.

These aren't the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. Check out our full Predictions for the Open Championship to find your favorite plays, as well as our 3-ball parlay for The Open totalling odds of +5192!

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.